North Carolina Courage vs Chicago Stars: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Metz J. (Usa)
North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.88
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (350/432)75% (286/382)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.410.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.58
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
88
Passes
81% (350/432)75% (286/382)
Long passes
38% (15/40)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)61% (66/108)
Crosses
25% (3/12)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.38
Throw-ins
2227
Fouls
88
Tackles
56% (14/25)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1816
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.582.23
Goals prevented
0.580.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Jackson R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Matsukubo M. , O'Sullivan D. (A),
  • 60', Sanchez A. , Koyama S. ,
  • 63', Murphy C. 🟨,
  • 67', Roccaro C. 🟨,
  • 68', Shaw J. , Vine C. ,
  • 68', Schlegel A. , Joseph J. ,
  • 68', Biegalski C. , Anderson H. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Matsukubo M. , Koyama S. (A),
  • 82', Lopez Millan M. , Hayashi M. ,
  • 82', Groom S. , Cook A. ,
  • 85', Lussi T. , Speck M. ,
  • 85', Jackson R. , Aline Gomes ,
  • 85', Staude N. , Weatherholt D. ,
  • 86', Ludmila , Johnson M. ,
  • 90+2', Malham T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


North Carolina Courage
62.5%
Draw
23.4%
Chicago Stars
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 19.8% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 18.7% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina Courage's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina Courage, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.33)
    3.93
    (4.61)
    6.53
    (7.94)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4.
    • Recent performances by North Carolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, North Carolina is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage 1:3
    23.06.2024 North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars 3:1
    27.08.2023 North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars 1:1
    10.06.2023 Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage 0:5
    Latest results of North Carolina Courage
    Latest results of Chicago Stars
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W970219:61321
    2San Diego Wave W952216:10617
    3Orlando Pride W951315:7816
    4Portland Thorns W1044216:11516
    5Washington Spirit W951316:15116
    6Seattle Reign W94238:7114
    7Angel City W942315:16-114
    8Gotham W1033412:10212
    9North Carolina Courage W933311:10112
    10Bay FC W932410:12-211
    11Racing Louisville W93249:14-511
    12Houston Dash W93158:14-610
    13Utah Royals W91267:16-95
    14Chicago W91175:19-144

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4
    usaUsaNWSL+ app, Paramount+
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