North Carolina Courage vs Chicago Stars: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC).

: NWSL Women
Referee: Metz J. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.88
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
81% (350/432)	75% (286/382)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.23	0.58
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
81% (350/432)	75% (286/382)
Long passes
38% (15/40)	40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)	61% (66/108)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.38
Throw-ins
22	27
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
56% (14/25)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
43	43
Clearances
18	16
Interceptions
11	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
0.58	2.23
Goals prevented
0.58	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Jackson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, O'Sullivan D. (A),
60', Sanchez A. ↓, Koyama S. ↑,
63', Murphy C. 🟨,
67', Roccaro C. 🟨,
68', Shaw J. ↓, Vine C. ↑,
68', Schlegel A. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
68', Biegalski C. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Matsukubo M. ⚽, Koyama S. (A),
82', Lopez Millan M. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
82', Groom S. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
85', Lussi T. ↓, Speck M. ↑,
85', Jackson R. ↓, Aline Gomes ↑,
85', Staude N. ↓, Weatherholt D. ↑,
86', Ludmila ↓, Johnson M. ↑,
90+2', Malham T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

North Carolina Courage
62.5%

Draw
23.4%

Chicago Stars
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.8%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

18.7%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina Courage's form might have worsened.

Chicago Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina Courage, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.33)	3.93 ↓ (4.61)	6.53 ↓ (7.94)	8.6% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4.
Recent performances by North Carolina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chicago is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, North Carolina is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina Courage won against Chicago Stars?

North Carolina Courage has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Stars won against North Carolina Courage?

Chicago Stars has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars were as follows:

29.09.2024 Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage 1:3

23.06.2024 North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars 3:1

27.08.2023 North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars 1:1

10.06.2023 Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage 0:5

Latest results of North Carolina Courage

10.05.2025 North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Utah Royals - North Carolina Courage 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 North Carolina Courage - Kansas City Current 3:2 ✺

19.04.2025 North Carolina Courage - Bay FC 0:1 ✺

13.04.2025 NJ NY Gotham - North Carolina Courage 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Chicago Stars

10.05.2025 Chicago Stars - Washington Spirit 2:3 ✺

04.05.2025 NJ NY Gotham - Chicago Stars 0:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Chicago Stars - San Diego Wave 0:3 ✺

18.04.2025 Utah Royals - Chicago Stars 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Bay FC - Chicago Stars 1:2 ✺

NWSL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kansas City Current W	14	12	0	2	31:10	21	36
2	Washington Spirit W	14	8	2	4	23:20	3	26
3	Orlando Pride W	13	8	1	4	20:10	10	25
4	San Diego Wave W	14	7	4	3	25:16	9	25
5	Seattle Reign W	14	7	3	4	19:13	6	24
6	Portland Thorns W	14	6	4	4	20:14	6	22
7	Racing Louisville W	14	6	2	6	19:24	-5	20
8	Gotham W	14	5	4	5	19:14	5	19
9	North Carolina Courage W	14	5	4	5	18:20	-2	19
10	Bay FC W	14	4	4	6	16:19	-3	16
11	Angel City W	14	4	3	7	20:26	-6	15
12	Houston Dash W	14	3	3	8	15:24	-9	12
13	Chicago W	14	1	4	9	11:28	-17	7
14	Utah Royals W	13	1	2	10	11:29	-18	5

Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina Courage - Chicago Stars?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	TSN+
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4
Usa	NWSL+ app, Paramount+