Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 28
- Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (613/712) | 68% (173/253) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (613/712) | 68% (173/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (202/259) | 51% (50/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Nyman C. ⚽,
- 30', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
- 42', Prica T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Stavitski T. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
- 46', Tchouante C. ↓, Pettersson T. ↑,
- 46', Arrhenius R. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Pettersson T. ⚽,
- 65', Prica T. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
- 67', Thorell L. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Johansson H. (A),
- 82', Baggesen M. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
- 82', Fransson A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
- 90+1', Charles U. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
- 90+3', Watson M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mjällby 58.9% | Draw 22.6% | Norrköping 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjällby's form might have worsened.Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norrköping's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjällby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrköping, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mjällby - Norrköping Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↑ (1.34) |
4.35 ↓ (4.8) |
5.52 ↓ (7.4) |
3.3% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mjällby - Norrköping?
- Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +0.75 - Norrköping (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Norrköping (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Mjällby (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mjällby will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 3 - 50%). Norrköping (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Mjällby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.
- Mjällby is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Norrköping has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mjällby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S.
(Knee Injury)
Mitov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Norrköping?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norrköping won against Mjällby?
Norrköping has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Norrköping were as follows:
26.05.2025
Norrköping
-
Mjällby
1:1
26.08.2024
Norrköping
-
Mjällby
1:2
06.04.2024
Mjällby
-
Norrköping
3:0
18.09.2023
Norrköping
-
Mjällby
0:2
16.07.2023
Mjällby
-
Norrköping
1:2
Latest results of Mjällby
Latest results of Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sirius | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 48:27 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48:20 | 28 | 40 |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:19 | 25 | 38 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Hacken | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34:30 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | AIK | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:31 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30:41 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | GAIS | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 27 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Mjallby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
| 13 | Kalmar | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24:47 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14:39 | -25 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Mjällby - Norrköping?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Croatia | SportKlub |
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
Slovenia | Sportklub |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |