Ratchaburi vs Nongbua Pitchaya: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi).

THAILAND: Thai League 1 - Round 25

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.62	0.57
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Goal Attempts
21	11
Shots on Goal
10	3
Shots off Goal
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	3
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
8	6
Shots inside the Box
14	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
Free Kicks
7	6
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
6	7
Yellow Cards
0	2
Throw-ins
12	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
38	15
Passes
87% (480/553)	73% (213/293)
Passes in the final third
77% (126/163)	52% (33/63)
Crosses
42% (14/33)	50% (5/10)
Tackles
77% (10/13)	75% (6/8)
Clearances Total
9	31
Interceptions
6	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Chiamudom K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Songma J. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
46', Chawin S. ↓, Haber M. ↑,
61', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
64', Rontini C. 🟨,
65', Chiamudom K. ↓, Sorada A. ↑,
66', Khemdee J. ↓, Namwech W. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Suengchitthawon T. ⚽, Srisuwan K. (A),
77', 3 - 0, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),
81', Rontini C. ↓, Tanee W. ↑,
81', Seekaewnit P. ↓, Posri S. ↑,
83', Kaewprom J. ↓, Poomkeaw C. ↑,
83', Srisuwan K. ↓, Chakkuprasart S. ↑,
84', Hantes A. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Poomkeaw C. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),

Chances of winning

Ratchaburi
67.5%

Draw
18.9%

Nongbua Pitchaya
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.8%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nongbua Pitchaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratchaburi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nongbua Pitchaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.59)	4.85 ↑ (4.02)	6.73 ↑ (4.66)	9% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ratchaburi won 2.
Ratchaburi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Ratchaburi have a series of guest games.
In this match Ratchaburi is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ratchaburi to win the game is with odds 1.46.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Ratchaburi won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Nongbua Pitchaya?

Ratchaburi has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nongbua Pitchaya won against Ratchaburi?

Nongbua Pitchaya has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:

25.10.2024 Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi 5:3

05.02.2023 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1

25.01.2023 Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya 0:0

02.09.2022 Nongbua Pitchaya - Ratchaburi 0:2

Latest results of Ratchaburi

02.03.2025 Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi 0:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Rayong FC - Ratchaburi 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Rayong FC - Ratchaburi 1:4 ✺

08.02.2025 Nakhon Ratchasima - Ratchaburi 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Ratchaburi - Lamphun Warriors 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya

01.03.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC 1:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Bangkok United - Nongbua Pitchaya 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Ratchasima 1:1 ✺

10.02.2025 Uthai Thani - Nongbua Pitchaya 3:0 ✺

Thai League 1 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buriram	30	22	4	4	92:20	72	70
2	Bangkok Utd	30	21	6	3	63:30	33	69
3	Pathum United	30	15	8	7	47:34	13	53
4	Ratchaburi	30	15	7	8	65:47	18	52
5	Port MTI FC	30	13	9	8	52:39	13	48
6	Muang Thong Utd	30	13	6	11	46:39	7	45
7	Prachuap	30	12	8	10	49:39	10	44
8	Lamphun Warrior	30	9	10	11	36:39	-3	37
9	Uthai Thani	30	9	10	11	37:35	2	37
10	Sukhothai	30	9	9	12	47:54	-7	36
11	Chiangrai Utd	30	11	3	16	33:51	-18	36
12	Rayong FC	30	8	8	14	41:59	-18	32
13	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	30	7	11	12	36:57	-21	32
14	Nong Bua Pitchaya	30	6	9	15	37:62	-25	27
15	Nakhon Pathom	30	5	8	17	30:59	-29	23
16	Khonkaen Utd	30	4	6	20	21:68	-47	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Thai League 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 2