Nigeria W vs Zambia W, Africa Cup of Nations Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca).

: Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.57
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
7	0
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
2	2
Passes
65% (167/255)	71% (234/331)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
4.78	0.00
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
7	0
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
11	2
Shots outside the Box
0	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
2	2
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
65% (167/255)	71% (234/331)
Long passes
41% (26/63)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
50% (55/110)	47% (44/94)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.43
Throw-ins
30	24
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
68% (13/19)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
37	38
Clearances
25	25
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	4.78
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ohale O. ⚽, Okoronkwo E. (A),
28', Demehin O. 🟨,
31', Lungu I. ↓, Katongo E. ↑,
33', 2 - 0, Okoronkwo E. ⚽, Ajibade R. (A),
40', Nachula R. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Ihezuo C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nachula R. ↓, Mukoma F. ↑,
63', Chilufya P. ↓, Chipasula M. ↑,
63', Maluba M. ↓, Tembo M. ↑,
65', Ihezuo C. ↓, Isah S. ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Demehin O. ⚽, Okoronkwo E. (A),
69', Belemu M. ↓, Nthala M. ↑,
73', Okoronkwo E. ↓, Oshoala A. ↑,
74', Echegini J. ↓, Ucheibe C. ↑,
74', Ayinde H. ↓, Abiodun D. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Ijamilusi F. ⚽, Ajibade R. (A),

Chances of winning

Nigeria W
46.7%

Draw
29.9%

Zambia W
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria W's performance.

Zambia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zambia W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria W than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nigeria W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zambia W than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zambia W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nigeria W - Zambia W Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	3.87 ↑ (2.8)	10% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nigeria W - Zambia W?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nigeria W will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Nigeria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Zambia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nigeria is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Nigeria W won against Zambia W?

Nigeria W has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zambia W won against Nigeria W?

Zambia W has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nigeria W - Zambia W were as follows:

Latest results of Nigeria W

13.07.2025 Nigeria W - Algeria W 0:0 ✺

10.07.2025 Botswana W - Nigeria W 0:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Nigeria W - Tunisia W 3:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Nigeria W - Ghana W 3:1 ✺

23.06.2025 Portugal W - Nigeria W 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Zambia W

12.07.2025 Zambia W - D.R. Congo W 1:0 ✺

09.07.2025 Zambia W - Senegal W 3:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Morocco W - Zambia W 2:2 ✺

03.06.2025 South Africa W - Zambia W 2:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Zambia W - Botswana W 1:1 ✺

Draw

Final tournament

Quarter-finals

1	Morocco W (A1)	Mali W (C3)	3 : 1
2	Algeria W (B2)	Ghana W (C2)	0 : 1
3	Nigeria W (B1)	Zambia W (A2)	5 : 0
4	South Africa W (C1)	Senegal W (A3)	1 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Morocco W (A1)	Ghana W (C2)	2 : 1
2	Nigeria W (B1)	South Africa W (C1)	2 : 1

Final

1

Morocco W (A1)

Nigeria W (B1)

3rd place

2

Ghana W (C2)

South Africa W (C1)

Which TV channels are streaming of Nigeria W - Zambia W?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Zambia	ZNBC 1