Nigeria W vs South Africa W, Africa Cup of Nations Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca).

: Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.12
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
66% (166/251)	74% (226/307)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	1.16
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
17	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
10	17
Passes
66% (166/251)	74% (226/307)
Long passes
44% (19/43)	35% (12/34)
Passes in final third
58% (53/92)	56% (40/71)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.30
Throw-ins
27	18
Fouls
17	10
Tackles
64% (9/14)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
44	47
Clearances
9	33
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.16	1.66
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Makhubela T. ↓, Magaia H. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Ajibade R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Motlhalo L. ⚽,
61', Ramalepe L. ↓, Cesane N. ↑,
65', Echegini J. ↓, Ucheibe C. ↑,
75', Ayinde H. 🟨,
81', Ayinde H. ↓, Abiodun D. ↑,
89', Salgado G. ↓, Holweni S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Alozie M. ⚽, Okoronkwo E. (A),
90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nigeria W
53.2%

Draw
29.3%

South Africa W
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

31.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria W's performance.

South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria W than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nigeria W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Nigeria W - South Africa W Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.07)	3.14 ↑ (2.9)	5.22 ↑ (4.03)	9% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nigeria W - South Africa W?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Nigeria W will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2.
Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
Nigeria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nigeria is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Nigeria W won against South Africa W?

Nigeria W has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has South Africa W won against Nigeria W?

South Africa W has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nigeria W - South Africa W were as follows:

09.04.2024 South Africa W - Nigeria W 0:0

05.04.2024 Nigeria W - South Africa W 1:0

Latest results of Nigeria W

18.07.2025 Nigeria W - Zambia W 5:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Nigeria W - Algeria W 0:0 ✺

10.07.2025 Botswana W - Nigeria W 0:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Nigeria W - Tunisia W 3:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Nigeria W - Ghana W 3:1 ✺

Latest results of South Africa W

19.07.2025 South Africa W - Senegal W 1:0 ✺

14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Tanzania W - South Africa W 1:1 ✺

07.07.2025 South Africa W - Ghana W 2:0 ✺

03.06.2025 South Africa W - Zambia W 2:0 ✺

Draw

2026

Semi-finals

1	Angola W	Zimbabwe W	2 : 2, 2 : 1
2	Malawi W (WO.)	Congo W
3	Botswana W	D.R. Congo W	0 : 0, 0 : 2
4	Bye	South Africa W
5	Tanzania W	Equatorial Guinea W	1 : 1, 3 : 1
6	Uganda W	Ethiopia W	0 : 3, 2 : 0
7	Eswatini W	Namibia W	0 : 1, 0 : 3
8	Bye	Zambia W
9	Burundi W	Burkina Faso W	1 : 4, 0 : 1
10	Djibouti W	Togo W	0 : 5, 0 : 5
11	South Sudan W	Algeria W	0 : 3, 0 : 5
12	Bye	Cameroon W
13	Rwanda W	Egypt W	2 : 2, 0 : 1
14	Bye	Ghana W
15	Kenya W	Tunisia W	1 : 0, 0 : 0
16	Niger W	Gambia W	1 : 2, 0 : 2
17	Benin W	Sierra Leone W	3 : 1, 2 : 1
18	Bye	Nigeria W
19	Guinea W	Cape Verde W	1 : 4, 2 : 2
20	Gabon W	Mali W	1 : 4, 0 : 6
21	Chad W	Senegal W (WO.)
22	Bye	Ivory Coast W

Final

1	Angola W	Malawi W
2	D.R. Congo W	South Africa W
3	Tanzania W	Ethiopia W
4	Namibia W	Zambia W
5	Burkina Faso W	Togo W
6	Algeria W	Cameroon W
7	Egypt W	Ghana W
8	Kenya W	Gambia W
9	Benin W	Nigeria W
10	Cape Verde W	Mali W
11	Senegal W	Ivory Coast W

Which TV channels are streaming of Nigeria W - South Africa W?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz