Pedro Martinez Portero vs Nicolas Jarry: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Cincinnati Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry
Result
2:1
07/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals
Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
315
Double Faults
65
1st Serve Percentage
60%65%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (34/56)76% (37/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (21/38)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
24% (12/49)39% (22/56)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)45% (17/38)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)30% (3/10)
Winners
938
Unforced Errors
2848
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)76% (16/21)
Service Points Won
59% (55/94)66% (48/73)
Return Points Won
34% (25/73)41% (39/94)
Total Points Won
48% (80/167)52% (87/167)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Pedro Martinez Portero
28.3%
Nicolas Jarry
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.38)

    1.33
    (1.57)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Jarry will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 69.5%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jarry (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 68. Jarry is ranked ATP: 100.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jarry is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
    23.02.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero 2:0
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Monfils G.Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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