Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Santiago Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
1:2
25/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals
Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
64
1st Serve Percentage
53%61%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (48/57)77% (56/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (27/51)59% (27/46)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
23% (17/73)16% (9/57)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (19/46)47% (24/51)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
69% (75/108)70% (83/119)
Return Points Won
30% (36/119)31% (33/108)
Total Points Won
49% (111/227)51% (116/227)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
23
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Nicolas Jarry
65.2%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.44)

    2.72
    (2.75)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Jarry is ranked ATP: 47. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 91.
    • Jarry is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Ugo Carabelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jarry won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
    18.02.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    3Garin C. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (Q)2 : 1
    4Gaston H.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (4)Bye
    6Buse I. (WC)Djere L.0 : 2
    7Heide G. (Q)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    8Faria J.Darderi L. (8)2 : 0
    9Navone M. (6)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    11Meligeni Alves F. (Q)Comesana F.0 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Jarry N. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    15Coria F.Barrios Vera T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeTabilo A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Garin C.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Djere L.0 : 2
    4Heide G.Faria J.1 : 2
    5Navone M. (6)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    6Comesana F.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Monteiro T.2 : 1
    8Coria F.Tabilo A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (5)2 : 1
    2Djere L.Faria J.2 : 1
    3Dzumhur D.Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Djere L.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Djere L.Baez S. (3)2 : 1
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