Alexei Popyrin vs Nicolas Jarry: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Geneva Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry
Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals
Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
513
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
63%62%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (43/59)71% (44/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (16/35)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
29% (18/62)27% (16/59)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)54% (19/35)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)33% (3/9)
Winners
1942
Unforced Errors
3148
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)56% (15/27)
Service Points Won
63% (59/94)62% (62/100)
Return Points Won
38% (38/100)37% (35/94)
Total Points Won
50% (97/194)50% (97/194)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Alexei Popyrin
52.7%
Nicolas Jarry
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.67)

    1.99
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Jarry is ranked ATP: 53.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry 2:0
    30.10.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin 2:0
    17.08.2023 Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry Popyrin A. walkover
    12.04.2023 Nicolas Jarry - Alexei Popyrin 2:1
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Munar J.Halys Q.1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    4Cazaux A. (WC)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (4)Bye
    6Nishikori K.Tien L.2 : 1
    7Ofner S. (Q)Gakhov I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Borges N.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Popyrin A. (5)Jarry N.2 : 1
    10Lajovic D. (WC)Fearnley J.0 : 2
    11Norrie C. (Q)Stricker D. (WC)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Arnaldi M. (8)Gaston H.2 : 1
    14Sell K. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    15Fucsovics M.Bergs Z.2 : 0
    16ByeDjokovic N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Halys Q.2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    3Khachanov K. (4)Nishikori K. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Ofner S.Borges N.2 : 0
    5Popyrin A. (5)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    6Norrie C.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Arnaldi M. (8)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    8Fucsovics M.Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Hurkacz H. (6)0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (4)Ofner S.1 : 2
    3Popyrin A. (5)Norrie C.0 : 2
    4Arnaldi M. (8)Djokovic N. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Ofner S.2 : 0
    2Norrie C.Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Hurkacz H. (6)Djokovic N. (2)1 : 2
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