Nice vs Le Mans: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Nice - Le Mans
Result
1:1
05/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Nice - Le Mans - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.051.27
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
23
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
52
Passes
87% (470/540)81% (315/389)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.051.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.69
Total shots
88
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
52
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1510
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
114
Passes
87% (470/540)81% (315/389)
Long passes
49% (26/53)50% (29/58)
Passes in final third
67% (74/110)64% (51/80)
Crosses
11% (2/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.54
Throw ins
2021
Fouls
411
Tackles
53% (8/15)55% (11/20)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.691.05
Goals prevented
-0.310.05
Goal kicks
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bourabaa A. , Vercruysse J. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Wahi E. , Diop S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Lauray A. 🟨,
  • 61', Torrente R. , Yohou S. ,
  • 61', Vercruysse J. , Rabillard A. ,
  • 61', Gueye D. , Diallo H. ,
  • 65', Diop S. , Amoura M. ,
  • 65', Ngoumou N. , Hein G. ,
  • 70', Bourabaa A. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 74', Witsel A. , Mendy A. ,
  • 74', Nkounkou N. , Abdi A. ,
  • 75', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟨,
  • 78', Calodat L. , Larouci Y. ,
  • 82', Boisse N. 🟨,
  • 85', Clauss J. , Camara A. ,
  • 85', Wahi E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
53.9%
Draw
24.8%
Le Mans
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 26.4% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 29.1% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Nice - Le Mans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.81)
    3.87
    (3.58)
    4.5
    (4.43)
    4.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nice - Le Mans?
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • Users Predictions: Nice will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Nice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Le Mans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Nice has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nice is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdi A. (Surgery) Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Sanson M. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Larouci Y. (Concussion) Sidibe D. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Le Mans: Colas E. (Inactive) Kocik N. (Injury) Yohou S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nice won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    Latest results of Nice
    30.08.2026 Paris FC - Nice 3:0
    22.08.2026 Nice - Lorient 0:0
    15.08.2026 Hull City - Nice 0:0
    08.08.2026 Cagliari - Nice 0:0
    31.07.2026 Juventus - Nice 2:0
    Latest results of Le Mans
    30.08.2026 Rennes - Le Mans 3:2
    22.08.2026 Le Mans - Brest 2:2
    15.08.2026 Le Mans - Le Havre 0:1
    01.08.2026 Angers - Le Mans 2:3
    25.07.2026 Le Mans - Nantes 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lille43107:2510
    2Monaco43106:2410
    3Rennes43108:5310
    4Paris FC42206:248
    5Lyon42206:248
    6Strasbourg42119:817
    7PSG41216:605
    8Lorient41214:405
    9Brest41216:605
    10Lens41128:714
    11Angers41124:5-14
    12Troyes41124:9-54
    13Marseille41036:603
    14Le Mans40317:8-13
    15Auxerre41035:11-63
    16Le Havre40222:4-22
    17Toulouse40224:7-32
    18Nice40221:5-42

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Nice - Le Mans?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaTV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TV5 Monde Asia
    austriaAustriaLaola1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 7
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadafubo Sports Network
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Laola1
    israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, FOX One
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Prime
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
    south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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