Benfica vs Nice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Benfica - Nice
Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Benfica - Nice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.09
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4518
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
138
Passes
87% (472/541)80% (300/373)
Long passes
56% (32/57)36% (10/28)
Passes in final third
73% (99/135)72% (72/100)
Crosses
50% (6/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.60
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
913
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4836
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.091.19
Goals prevented
0.09-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Aursnes F. , Schjelderup A. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Schjelderup A. , Aursnes F. (A),
  • 33', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Coulibaly D. , Diop S. ,
  • 63', Barrenechea E. , Florentino ,
  • 63', Ivanovic F. , Barreiro L. ,
  • 64', Schjelderup A. , Prestianni G. ,
  • 65', Clauss J. 🟨,
  • 73', Clauss J. , Koutoune H. ,
  • 73', Jansson I. , Boga J. ,
  • 73', Bouanani B. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 81', Pavlidis V. , Araujo H. ,
  • 82', Moffi T. , Nguene B. ,
  • 84', Aursnes F. , Akturkoglu K. ,
  • 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
73.1%
Draw
17%
Nice
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.1% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 22.5% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benfica - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)
    6.49
    (4.16)
    11.36
    (5.42)
    -6.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 57 - 78.1%). Nice will win (votes: 8 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.6%87.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Nice (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
    • Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Benfica is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nice were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    28.06.2025 Benfica - Chelsea 1:4
    24.06.2025 Benfica - Bayern Munich 1:0
    Latest results of Nice
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2
    16.07.2025 Nice - Aubagne 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Benfica - Nice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
    portugalPortugalTVI
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV
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