Newport Gwent Dragons vs Munster: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union United Rugby Championship Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster
Result
19:38
25/01/2025 at 14:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 10
Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
36
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 31)
  • 3', Kilgallen D. (Try),
  • 17', Kendellen A. (Try),
  • 18', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', O'Connor B. (Try),
  • 20', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', (Penalty Try),
  • 21', Evans L. 🟨,
  • 33', Bleuler D. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (19 - 7)
  • 42', Coleman C. (Try),
  • 54', Hodnett J. (Try),
  • 55', Butler T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Wilson H. (Try),
  • 68', Evans L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Blacker D. (Try),
  • 75', Reed W. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newport Gwent Dragons
19.5%
Draw
4%
Munster
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 3.9% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 3.8% 69.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport Gwent Dragons's form might have worsened.
  • Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Munster's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport Gwent Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Munster than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Munster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (3.2)
    22.48
    (23)
    1.21
    (1.33)
    8.2%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 1.
    • Dragons is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Munster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Munster is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 230:500 (average 14.4:31.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 140:159 (average 17.5:19.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster were as follows:
    04.11.2023 Munster - Newport Gwent Dragons 45:14
    25.09.2022 Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster 23:17
    Latest results of Newport Gwent Dragons
    Latest results of Munster
    18.01.2025 Northampton Saints - Munster 34:32
    11.01.2025 Munster - Saracens 17:12
    27.12.2024 Munster - Leinster 7:28
    20.12.2024 Ulster - Munster 19:22
    13.12.2024 Castres - Munster 16:14
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7
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