Tranmere Rovers vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Tranmere Rovers - Newport County
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)
Tranmere Rovers - Newport County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
75% (172/230)69% (152/220)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.19
Total shots
66
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
68
Passes
75% (172/230)69% (152/220)
Long passes
52% (26/50)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
54% (45/84)56% (42/75)
Crosses
33% (2/6)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.29
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
97
Tackles
62% (8/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.190.88
Goals prevented
0.19-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Reindorf M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Joseph J. , Jennings C. (A),
  • 37', Jenkins L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jennings C. , Davison J. ,
  • 46', Harris T. , Whitaker C. ,
  • 48', Joseph J. 🟨,
  • 61', Whitmore K. , Evans C. ,
  • 61', Reindorf M. , Spellman M. ,
  • 61', Opoku N. , Garner G. ,
  • 66', Joseph J. , Norman C. ,
  • 66', Kenneh N. , Solomon S. ,
  • 75', Ogunneye H. , Baker-Richardson C. ,
  • 76', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 78', Ironside J. , Turnbull J. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. , Spellman M. (A),
  • 90+1', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tranmere Rovers
60.9%
Draw
24.2%
Newport County
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 22.5% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 17.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Tranmere Rovers - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.48)
    4.07
    (4.14)
    6.72
    (6.3)
    2.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4.
    • Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newport is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tranmere is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Calf Injury) Finley S. (Suspended) Williams J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Shephard L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Newport County were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Newport County - Tranmere Rovers 1:4
    09.11.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1
    13.04.2024 Newport County - Tranmere Rovers 1:2
    09.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1
    18.03.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 1:3
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Salford1161417:15219
    6MK Dons1153319:12718
    7Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    8Chesterfield1153320:19118
    9Notts Co1152420:13717
    10Barnet1152414:12217
    11Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    12Crewe1051414:11316
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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