Newport County vs Millwall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Newport County - Millwall
Result
0:1
12/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Newport County - Millwall - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.93
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
75% (232/310)79% (399/503)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.961.40
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
77
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1838
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
119
Passes
75% (232/310)79% (399/503)
Long passes
34% (22/65)53% (46/86)
Passes in final third
43% (29/67)65% (121/186)
Crosses
8% (1/12)39% (13/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.371.76
Throw-ins
3220
Fouls
911
Tackles
53% (8/15)87% (20/23)
Duels won
4376
Clearances
5026
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.400.96
Goals prevented
0.400.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Leonard R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Antwi C. , Jenkins L. ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Leonard R. ,
  • 64', Coburn J. , Nisbet K. ,
  • 64', Sturge Z. , Harding W. ,
  • 64', Bangura-Williams R. , Kelly D. ,
  • 65', Baker-Richardson C. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 74', Luongo M. 🟨,
  • 75', Ogunneye H. , Spellman M. ,
  • 75', Whitmore K. , Brennan C. ,
  • 87', Langstaff M. , Matthews A. ,
  • 90+6', Emakhu A. , Kendall S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
12.3%
Draw
20.3%
Millwall
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.4% 21.8% 64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 21.2% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Newport County - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.71
    (6.97)
    4.63
    (4.29)
    1.4
    (1.44)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Newport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Millwall is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Millwall is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Millwall
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    3BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    5HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    6TranmereBurton
    7Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    8HuddersfieldLeicester
    9WrexhamHull4 : 3
    10BirminghamSheffield Utd
    11StokeWalsall1 : 0
    12AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    13BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    14MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    15BarnsleyFleetwood
    16WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    17ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    18West BromDerby1 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed
    20CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    21Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    22Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    23WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    24Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    25CoventryLuton1 : 0
    26PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    27BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    28GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    29Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    30CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter
    33NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    34PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    35SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
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