Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.18 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (283/375) | 59% (135/227) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.18 | 1.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.99 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
46 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
75% (283/375) | 59% (135/227) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (24/58) | 33% (26/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (81/136) | 43% (33/77) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (13/26) | 64% (7/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.73 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 33 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 50% (9/18) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
34 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 1.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.16 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. (Own goal),
- 8', Smith M. 🟨,
- 19', Kabia J. (Pen),
- 30', Whitmore K. 🟨,
- 36', Evans C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Smith M. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Baker M. ⚽, Reindorf M. (A),
- 62', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
- 65', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 68', Ogunneye H. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 71', Shephard L. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 74', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 78', Reindorf M. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
- 78', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 81', Vernam C. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
- 81', Rodgers H. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 81', Sweeney J. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 67.4% | Draw 20.2% | Newport County 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Grimsby Town - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.54) |
4.74 ↑ (4.16) |
7.83 ↑ (6.01) |
4.6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- Grimsby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Grimsby is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Warner J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Newport County?
Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Grimsby Town?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Newport County were as follows:
22.03.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:0
16.11.2024
Newport County
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
06.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:0
16.12.2023
Newport County
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
07.03.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Chesterfield | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
3 | Bromley | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Crewe | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
5 | Swindon | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Walsall | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
7 | MK Dons | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
8 | Grimsby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
9 | Fleetwood | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
11 | Salford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Tranmere | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
13 | Notts Co | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
14 | Harrogate | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Barnet | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Colchester | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
18 | Barrow | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
19 | Oldham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
20 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
21 | Accrington | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
22 | Crawley | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 2 |
24 | Cheltenham | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Grimsby Town - Newport County?
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