Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (283/375) | 59% (135/227) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (283/375) | 59% (135/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/58) | 33% (26/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (81/136) | 43% (33/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 64% (7/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Baker-Richardson C. (Own goal),
- 8', Smith M. 🟨,
- 19', Kabia J. (Pen),
- 30', Whitmore K. 🟨,
- 36', Evans C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kabia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Smith M. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Baker M. ⚽, Reindorf M. (A),
- 62', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
- 65', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 68', Ogunneye H. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 71', Shephard L. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 74', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
- 78', Reindorf M. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
- 78', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 81', Vernam C. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
- 81', Rodgers H. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 81', Sweeney J. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
67.4% | Draw
20.2% | Newport County
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Grimsby Town - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.54) |
4.74 ↑
(4.16) |
7.83 ↑
(6.01) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- Grimsby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Grimsby is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Warner J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z.
(Inactive)
Rose D.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Grimsby will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Newport County?
Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Grimsby Town?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Newport County were as follows:
22.03.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:0
16.11.2024
Newport County
-
Grimsby Town
0:0
06.04.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:0
16.12.2023
Newport County
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
07.03.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Newport County
1:1
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Swindon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Bromley | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Oldham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Crewe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Barnet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Accrington | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Barrow | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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