Carlisle United vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Carlisle United - Newport County
Result
3:2
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 41
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Carlisle United - Newport County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.03
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
73% (293/404)58% (175/302)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.930.97
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3121
Through passes
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
73% (293/404)58% (175/302)
Long passes
44% (34/77)22% (22/99)
Passes in final third
63% (113/178)45% (48/106)
Crosses
18% (4/22)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.590.84
Fouls
108
Tackles
80% (12/15)75% (15/20)
Duels won
6660
Clearances Total
2534
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
0.972.93
Goals prevented
-1.03-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 24', Davies A. , McArthur C. ,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Evans K. , Kamwa B. (A),
  • 28', 0 - 2, Kamwa B. ,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Kelly G. , Wearne S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Vela J. , Dennis M. ,
  • 60', 2 - 2, Kelly G. ,
  • 67', Ajiboye D. , Martin J. ,
  • 71', Evans K. , Whitmore K. ,
  • 75', Hayden A. 🟨,
  • 75', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 80', Wearne S. , Hugill J. ,
  • 80', Fusire S. , Bevan J. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Hayden A. ,
  • 90+2', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Bevan J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United 55%Draw 24.1%Newport County 20.9%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Carlisle United 53.8%Draw 25.3%Newport County 20.9%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Carlisle United 52.5%Draw 24.7%Newport County 21.4%

Carlisle United - Newport County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.74)
3.87
(3.69)
4.56
(4.47)
6%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Newport County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Carlisle is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Embleton E. (Red Card) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Newport: Hudlin K. (Calf Injury) Jameson K. (Injury) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carlisle: Fusire S. (Injury) Harper C. (Injury) Lavelle S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Davies T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Newport County were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Newport County - Carlisle United 1:0
    14.01.2023 Carlisle United - Newport County 2:0
    24.09.2022 Newport County - Carlisle United 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Doncaster ✔ 4523121071:492281
    2Port Vale ✔ 452214965:452080
    3Bradford City4521121263:451875
    4Walsall4520141174:542074
    5Notts Co ✔ 4520121367:472072
    6AFC Wimbledon4519131355:352070
    7Salford4518141362:521068
    8Grimsby452081761:66-568
    9Chesterfield4518131472:541867
    10Colchester4516181152:47566
    11Bromley4516151461:59263
    12Crewe4515171349:47262
    13Swindon4515161471:63861
    14Fleetwood4515151560:59160
    15Cheltenham4516121760:67-760
    16Barrow4515131752:50258
    17Gillingham4513161640:46-655
    18MK Dons451492252:66-1451
    19Accrington4512141953:68-1550
    20Harrogate4513112141:60-1950
    21Newport4513102251:72-2149
    22Tranmere4511151941:64-2348
    23Carlisle ✔ 4510112442:69-2741
    24Morecambe ✔ 451062939:70-3136

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Doncaster is Qualified for League One
    Port Vale is Qualified for League One
    Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Carlisle is Relegated to National League
    Morecambe is Relegated to National League
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