Result
3:2
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Carlisle United - Newport County live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (293/404) | 58% (175/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (293/404) | 58% (175/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/77) | 22% (22/99) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (113/178) | 45% (48/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.84 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', Davies A. ↓, McArthur C. ↑,
- 26', 0 - 1, Evans K. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
- 28', 0 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, Kelly G. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Vela J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Kelly G. ⚽,
- 67', Ajiboye D. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 71', Evans K. ↓, Whitmore K. ↑,
- 75', Hayden A. 🟨,
- 75', Martin J. 🟨,
- 80', Wearne S. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 80', Fusire S. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 2, Hayden A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bevan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
55% | Draw
24.1% | Newport County
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)The chances for Newport County have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Carlisle United - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.74) |
3.87 ↑
(3.69) |
4.56 ↑
(4.47) |
6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newport will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Carlisle is a favorite.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Embleton E.
(Red Card)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Newport: Hudlin K.
(Calf Injury)
Jameson K.
(Injury)
Wildig A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Fusire S.
(Injury)
Harper C.
(Injury)
Lavelle S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Newport: Davies T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23:27 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:12 (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Newport County?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Carlisle United?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Newport County were as follows:
11.02.2025
Newport County
-
Carlisle United
1:0
14.01.2023
Carlisle United
-
Newport County
2:0
24.09.2022
Newport County
-
Carlisle United
1:1
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Salford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Colchester | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Notts Co | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Crawley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Which TV channels are streaming of Carlisle United - Newport County?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
