Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Bournemouth - Newcastle United
Result
0:0
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
Bournemouth - Newcastle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.14
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (403/492)77% (294/383)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.10
Total shots
114
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
41
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1618
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
107
Passes
82% (403/492)77% (294/383)
Long passes
27% (17/62)40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
66% (91/138)64% (85/132)
Crosses
0% (0/21)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.30
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
710
Tackles
53% (8/15)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
2935
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.100.30
Goals prevented
0.100.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jimenez A. , Hill J. ,
  • 62', Willock J. , Barnes H. ,
  • 62', Murphy J. , Elanga A. ,
  • 63', Scott A. , Christie R. ,
  • 63', Brooks D. , Kluivert J. ,
  • 74', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 75', Tavernier M. , Adli A. ,
  • 77', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 84', Thiaw M. , Lascelles J. ,
  • 84', Woltemade N. , Osula W. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3wc4x3ac

Chances of winning


Bournemouth
41.4%
Draw
28.3%
Newcastle United
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 26.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 26.4% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bournemouth - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.54)
    3.41
    (3.63)
    3.15
    (2.68)
    3.3%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bournemouth - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 33 - 64.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 51.6%77.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Bournemouth: Smith A. (Hamstring Injury) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Red Card) Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury) Schar F. (Head Injury) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bournemouth: Diakite B. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bournemouth - Newcastle United were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4
    25.08.2024 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 1:1
    17.02.2024 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 2:2
    11.11.2023 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 2:0
    11.02.2023 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 1:1
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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