Newcastle United vs Benfica: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Newcastle United - Benfica
Result
3:0
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Newcastle United - Benfica - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
128
Passes
84% (350/415)81% (316/388)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.33
xG on target (xGOT)
4.090.20
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
128
Touches in opposition box
3812
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
716
Passes
84% (350/415)81% (316/388)
Long passes
57% (21/37)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
74% (79/107)67% (44/66)
Crosses
35% (7/20)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.680.20
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
167
Tackles
62% (8/13)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4349
Clearances
2418
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.204.09
Goals prevented
0.201.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Gordon A. , Murphy J. (A),
  • 45', Lukebakio D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Murphy J. , Barnes H. ,
  • 63', Ramsey J. , Joelinton ,
  • 63', Dedic A. , Ivanovic F. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Barnes H. , Pope N. (A),
  • 83', 3 - 0, Barnes H. , Gordon A. (A),
  • 85', Woltemade N. , Osula W. ,
  • 85', Gordon A. , Elanga A. ,
  • 90', Bruno Guimaraes , Willock J. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
63.5%
Draw
23.6%
Benfica
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 22.8% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 21.9% 18.4%

Newcastle United - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.56
(1.65)
4.29
(4.2)
8.34
(4.98)
-0.6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 55 - 78.6%). Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 15.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 69%88.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 60%). Benfica (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Inactive) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Hall L. (Thigh Injury) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Newcastle: Tonali S. (Illness)
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Benfica
17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
05.10.2025 Porto - Benfica 0:0
30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0
26.09.2025 Benfica - Gil Vicente 2:1
23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase
PlWDLDiffPts
1Arsenal660017:11618
2Bayern Munich650118:71115
3PSG641119:81113
4Manchester City641112:6613
5Atalanta64118:6213
6Inter640212:4812
7Real Madrid640213:7612
8Atl. Madrid640215:12312
9Liverpool640211:8312
10Dortmund632119:13611
11Tottenham632113:7611
12Newcastle631213:6710
13Chelsea631213:8510
14Sporting CP631212:8410
15Barcelona631214:11310
16Marseille630311:839
17Juventus623112:1029
18Galatasaray63038:809
19Monaco62317:8-19
20Bayer Leverkusen623110:12-29
21PSV622215:1148
22Qarabag621310:13-37
23Napoli62136:11-57
24FC Copenhagen621310:16-67
25Benfica62046:8-26
26Pafos61324:9-56
27Royale Union SG62047:15-86
28Ath Bilbao61234:9-55
29Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
31Club Brugge KV61148:16-84
32Bodo/Glimt60339:13-43
33Slavia Prague60332:11-93
34Ajax61055:18-133
35Villarreal60154:13-91
36Kairat Almaty60154:15-111

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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