Newcastle United vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Newcastle United - Barcelona
Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
Newcastle United - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.31
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
72% (205/283)86% (460/537)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.31
xG on target (xGOT)
2.301.73
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2838
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
72% (205/283)86% (460/537)
Long passes
37% (18/49)60% (25/42)
Passes in final third
60% (61/102)76% (134/177)
Crosses
10% (2/20)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.15
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1112
Tackles
42% (5/12)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4355
Clearances
2725
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.732.30
Goals prevented
-0.271.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 45+1', Martin G. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Burn D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Rashford M. , Kounde J. (A),
  • 63', Barnes H. , Woltemade N. ,
  • 63', Elanga A. , Willock J. ,
  • 63', Joelinton , Murphy J. ,
  • 63', Schar F. , Murphy A. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Rashford M. ,
  • 69', Cubarsi P. , Christensen A. ,
  • 69', Lewandowski R. , Torres F. ,
  • 75', Lopez F. 🟨,
  • 76', Trippier K. , Botman S. ,
  • 81', Martin G. , Garcia E. ,
  • 81', Rashford M. , Olmo D. ,
  • 82', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Gordon A. , Murphy J. (A),
  • 90+3', Lopez F. , Casado M. ,
  • 90+7', Casado M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
36.9%
Draw
25.7%
Barcelona
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 24.4% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 23.8% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle United - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (3.2)
    3.84
    (3.93)
    2.58
    (2.1)
    1.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Barcelona?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 11 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Barcelona (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Barcelona (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • AH 0 - Barcelona (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (107 of 132 users predict this - 81.06%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.38%87.74%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Newcastle have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Barcelona is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ashby H. (Inactive) Gillespie M. (Inactive) Lascelles J. (Inactive) Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury) Ruddy J. (Inactive) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Hamstring Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Yamal L. (Back Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of Barcelona
    14.09.2025 Barcelona - Valencia 6:0
    31.08.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona 1:1
    23.08.2025 Levante - Barcelona 2:3
    16.08.2025 Mallorca - Barcelona 0:3
    10.08.2025 Barcelona - Como 5:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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