Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Aston Villa - Newcastle United
Result
4:1
19/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 33
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
Aston Villa - Newcastle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.02
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
85% (347/410)85% (355/417)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.330.64
Total shots
2310
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
198
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3136
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
129
Passes
85% (347/410)85% (355/417)
Long passes
50% (22/44)44% (14/32)
Passes in final third
77% (95/124)76% (102/135)
Crosses
29% (4/14)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.94
Fouls
912
Tackles
75% (15/20)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5142
Clearances Total
1922
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.642.33
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Watkins O. , Tielemans Y. (A),
  • 13', Schar F. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 1, Schar F. , Barnes H. (A),
  • 41', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 63', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Maatsen I. , Watkins O. (A),
  • 65', Murphy J. , Gordon A. ,
  • 72', Asensio M. , Onana A. ,
  • 72', McGinn J. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Burn D. (Own goal),
  • 75', 4 - 1, Onana A. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 76', Trippier K. , Krafth E. ,
  • 76', Barnes H. , Willock J. ,
  • 76', Isak A. , Wilson C. ,
  • 82', Schar F. , Targett M. ,
  • 82', Kamara B. , Barkley R. ,
  • 82', Rogers M. , Malen D. ,
  • 82', Watkins O. , Rashford M. ,
  • 88', Ramsey J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
37.8%
Draw
26.5%
Newcastle United
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 26.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 26.7% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Aston Villa - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.4)
    3.61
    (3.66)
    2.7
    (2.86)
    4%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC Sports 4K
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Newcastle United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1.
    • Aston Villa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Newcastle is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Newcastle United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:0
    30.01.2024 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 1:3
    12.08.2023 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 5:1
    23.07.2023 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:3
    15.04.2023 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 3:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 37258485:404583
    2Arsenal ✔ 371914467:333471
    3Newcastle372061168:462266
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham371981058:451365
    8Brighton371513962:58458
    9Brentford371671465:56955
    10Fulham371591354:52254
    11Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton3710151241:44-345
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3710101743:61-1840
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Leicester ✔ 37672433:78-4525
    19Ipswich ✔ 374102335:79-4422
    20Southampton ✔ 37262925:84-5912

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
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