Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

: Premier League - Round 33
Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.02
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
23	10
Shots on target
9	3
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
7	7
Passes
85% (347/410)	85% (355/417)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.33	0.64
Total shots
23	10
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
10	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
19	8
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
7	7
Touches in opposition box
31	36
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	9
Passes
85% (347/410)	85% (355/417)
Long passes
50% (22/44)	44% (14/32)
Passes in final third
77% (95/124)	76% (102/135)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.94
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
75% (15/20)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
51	42
Clearances Total
19	22
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.64	2.33
Goals prevented
-0.36	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Watkins O. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
13', Schar F. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Schar F. ⚽, Barnes H. (A),
41', Joelinton 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Maatsen I. ⚽, Watkins O. (A),
65', Murphy J. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
72', Asensio M. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
72', McGinn J. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Burn D. (Own goal),
75', 4 - 1, Onana A. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
76', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
76', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
76', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
82', Schar F. ↓, Targett M. ↑,
82', Kamara B. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
82', Rogers M. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
82', Watkins O. ↓, Rashford M. ↑,
88', Ramsey J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Aston Villa 37.8%

Draw 26.5%

Newcastle United 35.7%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Aston Villa 40.1%

Draw 26.3%

Newcastle United 33.6%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Aston Villa 39.5%

Draw 26.7%

Newcastle United 34.1%

Aston Villa - Newcastle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.4)	3.61 ↓ (3.66)	2.7 ↓ (2.86)	4% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Watch this match and English Premier League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : NBC Sports 4K

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Newcastle United?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1.
Aston Villa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Newcastle is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Newcastle United?

Aston Villa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Aston Villa?

Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Newcastle United were as follows:

26.12.2024 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:0

30.01.2024 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 1:3

12.08.2023 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 5:1

23.07.2023 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:3

15.04.2023 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 3:0

Latest results of Aston Villa

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Southampton - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Newcastle United

16.04.2025 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 5:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Newcastle United - Manchester United 4:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Leicester City - Newcastle United 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:1 ✺

10.03.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liverpool ✔	34	25	7	2	80:32	48	82
2	Arsenal	34	18	13	3	63:29	34	67
3	Newcastle	34	19	5	10	65:44	21	62
4	Manchester City	34	18	7	9	66:43	23	61
5	Chelsea	34	17	9	8	59:40	19	60
6	Nottingham	33	18	6	9	53:39	14	60
7	Aston Villa	34	16	9	9	54:49	5	57
8	Fulham	34	14	9	11	50:46	4	51
9	Brighton	34	13	12	9	56:55	1	51
10	Bournemouth	34	13	11	10	53:41	12	50
11	Brentford	33	13	7	13	56:50	6	46
12	Crystal Palace	34	11	12	11	43:47	-4	45
13	Wolves	34	12	5	17	51:61	-10	41
14	Manchester Utd	34	10	9	15	39:47	-8	39
15	Everton	34	8	14	12	34:41	-7	38
16	Tottenham	34	11	4	19	62:56	6	37
17	West Ham	34	9	9	16	39:58	-19	36
18	Ipswich ✔	34	4	9	21	33:74	-41	21
19	Leicester ✔	34	4	6	24	27:76	-49	18
20	Southampton ✔	34	2	5	27	25:80	-55	11

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Clinched Spots for Teams

Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
Leicester is Relegated to Championship
Southampton is Relegated to Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Aston Villa - Newcastle United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 7, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, ON Plus
World	Disney+