Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters
Result
8:12
14/06/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 15
Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
12
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
23
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
6767
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
226178
Metres Run With Ball
20471762

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 0)
  • 4', McCarthy K. (Try),
  • 6', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 12)
  • 58', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Foketi S. (Try),
  • 64', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Wong S. (Try),
  • 74', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
27.3%
Draw
4.1%
Sydney Roosters
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 3.7% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 3.8% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Roosters's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.57)
    23
    (25.5)
    1.38
    (1.56)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Sydney has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sydney is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 298:559. (average 14.9:28).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 162:252. (average 16.2:25.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Sydney Roosters - Newcastle Knights 10:48
    11.04.2024 Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters 20:22
    17.06.2023 Newcastle Knights - Sydney Roosters 16:18
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders16133434:33028
    2Canterbury Bulldogs14113336:24028
    3Melbourne Storm14104459:26326
    4New Zealand Warriors15105321:31024
    5Brisbane Broncos1587398:33420
    6Sydney Roosters1477344:32820
    7Penrith Panthers1577322:31919
    8Dolphins1688478:31618
    9Manly Sea Eagles1578350:31018
    10Cronulla Sharks1688366:37018
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons1468306:35118
    12NQ Cowboys1568316:45017
    13Newcastle Knights16610237:30414
    14Wests Tigers15510290:37414
    15Parramatta Eels15510287:39014
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs16610293:40414
    17Gold Coast Titans15411312:45612

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