Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights
Result
12:16
07/07/2024 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NRL - Round 18
  • Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)
Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
23
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
23
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
10067
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
188202
Metres Run With Ball
19782138

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 10)
  • 7', Papalii J. (Try),
  • 8', Rapana J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Gagai D. (Try),
  • 12', Hastings J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 18', Marzhew G. (Try),
  • 19', Hastings J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 6)
  • 44', Gagai D. (Try),
  • 45', Pryce W. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 56', Rapana J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Canberra Raiders
40.7%
Draw
4.3%
Newcastle Knights
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 4.1% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 3.8% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra Raiders's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Knights's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.91)
    20.73
    (22.95)
    1.69
    (1.99)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights?
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle Knights will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Canberra won 2.
    • Canberra is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newcastle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Canberra won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 508-481.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Canberra won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 272-259.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    07.03.2024 Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders 12:28
    10.09.2023 Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders 30:28
    29.07.2023 Canberra Raiders - Newcastle Knights 6:28
    26.03.2023 Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders 24:14
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders14113396:30024
    2Canterbury Bulldogs12102306:21424
    3New Zealand Warriors13103291:25624
    4Melbourne Storm1284404:23322
    5Cronulla Sharks1486332:30618
    6Brisbane Broncos1367338:29416
    7Penrith Panthers1357286:29515
    8NQ Cowboys1256274:32615
    9Dolphins1367350:25814
    10Manly Sea Eagles1468322:30014
    11Sydney Roosters1257290:31214
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons1358272:33114
    13Wests Tigers1358268:33014
    14South Sydney Rabbitohs1367223:30514
    15Newcastle Knights1358185:25012
    16Parramatta Eels1349231:33612
    17Gold Coast Titans1349268:39012

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