Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Australian A-League Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A-League - Round 25
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.65
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
88
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
88% (558/634)76% (243/321)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.001.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.581.93
Total shots
2515
Shots on target
88
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1615
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
5025
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
58
Passes
88% (558/634)76% (243/321)
Long passes
56% (23/41)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
72% (126/175)66% (55/83)
Crosses
15% (5/34)75% (3/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.95
Fouls
85
Tackles
41% (7/17)45% (10/22)
Duels won
4359
Clearances Total
1137
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
1.930.58
Goals prevented
-0.070.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Barbarouses K. , Nagasawa K. (A),
  • 41', 0 - 2, Nagasawa K. , Payne T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bayliss L. , M'Mombwa C. ,
  • 46', Cancar P. , Taylor C. ,
  • 54', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 62', Nagasawa K. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 62', Ishige H. , Kelly-Heald L. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Oluwayemi J. (Own goal),
  • 73', Sheridan M. , Retre P. ,
  • 83', Mizunuma K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Mizunuma K. , Wellissol ,
  • 90+6', Payne T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
55.5%
Draw
22.9%
Wellington Phoenix
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.79)
    4.12
    (3.57)
    4.38
    (4.51)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 1.
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wellington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Newcastle is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Hughes I. (Hamstring Injury) Kelly-Heald A. (Shoulder Injury) Retre P. (Calf Injury) Wootton S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 35:31 (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:10 (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    27.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 2:1
    19.04.2024 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 1:1
    27.01.2024 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 0:3
    03.03.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets 2:1
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Bye
    2WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2
    3Melbourne City (2)Bye
    4Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0
    2Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
    australiaAustraliaParamount+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 7
    philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football, Setanta Sports
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
    usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
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