Cardiff Rugby vs Newcastle Falcons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Cardiff Rugby - Newcastle Falcons
15/01/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Cardiff Rugby - Newcastle Falcons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby 70.4%Draw 4%Newcastle Falcons 25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Cardiff Rugby 68.2%Draw 3.8%Newcastle Falcons 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Cardiff Rugby 68.6%Draw 3.8%Newcastle Falcons 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.36)
    23.8
    (24.5)
    3.57
    (3.31)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    17.12.2022 Newcastle Falcons - Cardiff Rugby 10:47
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    2LyonSharks34 : 21
    3ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    4USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24
    5EdinburghLions24 : 12
    6Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    7Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    8MontpellierGloucester17 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1OspreysLyon18 : 20
    2ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43
    3EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    4BathGloucester61 : 26

    Semi-finals
    1LyonRacing 92
    2EdinburghBath24 : 39

    Final
    1TBD #1Bath
    X
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