Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors
20/07/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
32.7%
Draw
3.9%
New Zealand Warriors
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 3.6% 62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 3.7% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.75)
    22.67
    (26)
    1.48
    (1.47)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
    • New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 368:424. (average 18.4:21.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 138:122. (average 19.7:17.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    25.04.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 26:12
    05.05.2024 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 14:8
    31.03.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 20:12
    16.09.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 40:10
    09.04.2023 Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors 34:24
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders17143462:35432
    2Melbourne Storm16124517:29730
    3Canterbury Bulldogs16124366:27030
    4New Zealand Warriors16115355:32428
    5Brisbane Broncos17107446:36624
    6Penrith Panthers1687354:32923
    7Dolphins1899533:36422
    8Manly Sea Eagles1688380:32222
    9Sydney Roosters1688403:38222
    10Cronulla Sharks1798390:38222
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons16610354:41018
    12NQ Cowboys18611368:53117
    13Newcastle Knights17611251:33616
    14Wests Tigers17611334:43616
    15Parramatta Eels16511297:42216
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs17611305:43416
    17Gold Coast Titans16412326:48214

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

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