Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors
Result
27:26
05/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 27
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
65
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
5760
Dropped Goals
10
Dropped Goal Attempts
10
Total Runs
178180
Metres Run With Ball
15721688

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 10)
  • 1', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
  • 2', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 5', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 6', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 9', Simpkin J. (Try),
  • 11', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 16', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 18', Cherry-Evans D. (Missed Conversion),
  • 35', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 36', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 16)
  • 43', Brooks L. (Try),
  • 44', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 49', Bullemor E. (Try),
  • 50', Cherry-Evans D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
  • 56', Boyd T. (Missed Conversion),
  • 73', Healey S. (Try),
  • 74', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Cherry-Evans D. (Drop Goal),
  • 80', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 80', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
66.6%
Draw
4.6%
New Zealand Warriors
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 4.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 4.2% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles's performance.
  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.57)
    20.9
    (22)
    3.46
    (2.52)
    3.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 3 - 75%). New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Manly-Warringah might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 486:411. (average 24.3:20.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 229:162. (average 28.6:20.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    14.03.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 36:16
    16.08.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors 24:10
    13.04.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 22:22
    18.08.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 29:22
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - New Zealand Warriors?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
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