Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors
Result
12:16
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 11
Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
23
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
24
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
10040
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
198164
Metres Run With Ball
16531550

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 10)
  • 29', Niukore M. (Try),
  • 30', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 36', Capewell K. (Try),
  • 37', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Metcalf L. (Missed Penalty),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 6)
  • 70', Laban J. (Try),
  • 71', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
  • 72', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Farnworth H. (Try),
  • 79', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Dolphins
45.6%
Draw
4.5%
New Zealand Warriors
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 4.7% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 4.5% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.98)
    20.44
    (19.5)
    1.87
    (1.89)
    7.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors?
    The most likely score is 26:26. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • Dolphins has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New Zealand is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • New Zealand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 118:130. (average 23.6:26).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 68:42. (average 34:21).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:32
    26.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 24:20
    23.02.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 34:22
    02.09.2023 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:10
    03.06.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 30:8
    Latest results of Dolphins
    08.05.2025 Parramatta Eels - Dolphins 16:20
    02.05.2025 Sydney Roosters - Dolphins 36:26
    27.04.2025 Canberra Raiders - Dolphins 40:28
    18.04.2025 Dolphins - Melbourne Storm 42:22
    10.04.2025 Dolphins - Penrith Panthers 30:12
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canterbury Bulldogs1192276:20222
    2Canberra Raiders13103360:28820
    3New Zealand Warriors1293251:24620
    4Melbourne Storm1174366:21918
    5Cronulla Sharks1275292:24816
    6NQ Cowboys1155260:28815
    7Manly Sea Eagles1266292:24614
    8St. George Illawarra Dragons1156248:24514
    9South Sydney Rabbitohs1266211:26914
    10Dolphins1257294:25212
    11Brisbane Broncos1257294:28012
    12Sydney Roosters1257290:31212
    13Wests Tigers1257254:31212
    14Penrith Panthers1247268:28111
    15Newcastle Knights1248159:22810
    16Parramatta Eels1248219:30610
    17Gold Coast Titans1138226:33810

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

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