New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins
01/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 22
New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
42.1%
Draw
4.6%
Dolphins
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 4.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 4.1% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolphins's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolphins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.68)
    20.67
    (22)
    1.82
    (2.28)
    4.8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dolphins will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 21:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New Zealand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 146:130. (average 24.3:21.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:50. (average 29.3:16.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 12:16
    11.08.2024 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:32
    26.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 24:20
    23.02.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 34:22
    02.09.2023 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:10
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Latest results of Dolphins
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders19163546:38836
    2Melbourne Storm19145583:35534
    3Canterbury Bulldogs18144428:29234
    4New Zealand Warriors18126391:36330
    5Penrith Panthers18107420:34127
    6Brisbane Broncos18108466:38826
    7Cronulla Sharks19118435:41226
    8Dolphins1899533:36424
    9Manly Sea Eagles1899402:38024
    10Sydney Roosters18810451:44722
    11NQ Cowboys19711406:56319
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons18612404:46818
    13Newcastle Knights19613284:40018
    14Wests Tigers19712357:49218
    15Parramatta Eels19613345:49818
    16Gold Coast Titans18513370:51916
    17South Sydney Rabbitohs19613327:47816

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
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