New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins, Australian NRL: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins
Result
18:20
01/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 22
New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
32
Conversion Goal Attempts
34
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
10050
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
190181
Metres Run With Ball
19281735

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 16)
  • 5', Farnworth H. (Try),
  • 6', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 11', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Marshall-King J. (Try),
  • 27', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Keeley O. (Try),
  • 32', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 36', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
  • 38', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 4)
  • 59', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 61', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Isaako J. (Try),
  • 80', Katoa I. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
39.3%
Draw
4.6%
Dolphins
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 4.2% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 4.1% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dolphins's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dolphins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.68)
    19.95
    (22)
    1.69
    (2.28)
    6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dolphins (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Dolphins will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Dolphins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 146:130. (average 24.3:21.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:50. (average 29.3:16.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 12:16
    11.08.2024 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:32
    26.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 24:20
    23.02.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins 34:22
    02.09.2023 Dolphins - New Zealand Warriors 34:10
    Latest results of New Zealand Warriors
    Latest results of Dolphins
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand Warriors - Dolphins?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
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