New Zealand vs Italy, Nations Championship Rugby: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
47:17
11/07/2026 at 01:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Nations Championship - Round 2
New Zealand - Italy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
72
Conversion goals
62
Conversion goal attempts
72
Penalty goals
01
Penalty goal attempts
01
Goals %
86100
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
18898
Metres run with ball
621332
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 10)
  • 2', Menoncello T. (Try),
  • 3', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 7', Darry S. (Try),
  • 8', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Jordan W. (Try),
  • 30', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Carter L. , Moorby J. ,
  • 40', Jacobson L. , Segner A. ,
  • 40', Faissal M. , Marin L. ,
  • 2nd Half (33 - 7)
  • 41', Roigard C. (Try),
  • 42', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 43', Cannone L. , Favretto R. ,
  • 47', de Groot E. (Try),
  • 48', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 48', Lomax T. , Tosi P. ,
  • 48', Taylor C. , Taukei'aho S. ,
  • 49', Vintcent R. , Marini G. ,
  • 49', de Groot E. , Bower G. ,
  • 50', Jordan W. (Try),
  • 51', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 51', Cannone N. 🟥,
  • 53', Jordan W. (Try),
  • 54', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Fischetti D. , Spagnolo M. ,
  • 54', Di Bartolomeo T. , Lucchesi G. ,
  • 56', Marin L. (Try),
  • 57', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
  • 57', Lamaro M. , Vintcent R. ,
  • 57', Roigard C. , Ratima C. ,
  • 57', Allan T. , Garbisi A. ,
  • 57', Barrett J. , Lienert-Brown A. ,
  • 63', Riccioni M. , Hasa M. ,
  • 63', Zambonin A. , Ruzza F. ,
  • 65', Savea A. , Lord J. ,
  • 70', Love R. 🟨,
  • 79', Cannone N. , Lamaro M. ,
  • 80', Vaa'i T. (Try),
  • 80+1', Love R. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand
91.4%
Draw
2.8%
Italy
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
91.9% 2.7% 5.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • New Zealand - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.01
    (1.02)
    33.38
    (34.93)
    15.95
    (17.23)
    8.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-33)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5.
    • In this match, New Zealand is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 348:60. (average 49.7:8.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand - Italy were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Italy - New Zealand 11:29
    29.09.2023 New Zealand - Italy 96:17
    Latest results of New Zealand
    04.07.2026 New Zealand - France 34:32
    22.11.2025 Wales - New Zealand 26:52
    15.11.2025 England - New Zealand 33:19
    08.11.2025 Scotland - New Zealand 17:25
    01.11.2025 Ireland - New Zealand 13:26
    Latest results of Italy
    04.07.2026 Japan - Italy 27:10
    14.03.2026 Wales - Italy 31:17
    07.03.2026 Italy - England 23:18
    22.02.2026 France - Italy 33:8
    14.02.2026 Ireland - Italy 20:13
    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand - Italy?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media One, Virgin Media Player
    italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app
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