South Africa 7s vs New Zealand 7s, Sevens World Series - USA: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Sevens World Series - USA South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s
Result
31:5
04/05/2025 at 16:46 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : SVNS USA - Play Offs - Semi-finals
South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
41
Conversion Goals
30
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 0)
  • 1', van Wyk S. (Try),
  • 2', Brown R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 3', Nortje Q. (Try),
  • 4', Brown R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 7', van Wyk S. (Try),
  • 7', Brown R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 5)
  • 10', Nortje Q. (Try),
  • 11', Vaenuku F. (Try),

Chances of winning


South Africa 7s
49.1%
Draw
6.5%
New Zealand 7s
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 7.1% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 7.8% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Africa 7s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Africa 7s's performance.
  • New Zealand 7s has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand 7s might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Africa 7s than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Africa 7s that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand 7s than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Zealand 7s could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.31)
    14.25
    (13)
    2.07
    (1.75)
    8.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 34.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Africa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:16.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 2.
    • South Africa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New Zealand is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • New Zealand may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 274:363. (average 13.7:18.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s were as follows:
    29.03.2025 South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s 7:17
    21.02.2025 South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s 12:10
    01.12.2024 South Africa 7s - New Zealand 7s 17:24
    25.07.2024 New Zealand 7s - South Africa 7s 7:14
    24.07.2024 New Zealand 7s - South Africa 7s 17:5
    Latest results of South Africa 7s
    Latest results of New Zealand 7s
    03.05.2025 Spain 7s - New Zealand 7s 7:5
    03.05.2025 Fiji 7s - New Zealand 7s 12:17
    06.04.2025 Ireland 7s - New Zealand 7s 21:19
    05.04.2025 Fiji 7s - New Zealand 7s 36:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Spain 7sArgentina 7s29 : 5
    2South Africa 7sNew Zealand 7s31 : 5

    Final
    1Spain 7sSouth Africa 7s5 : 19

    3rd place
    2Argentina 7sNew Zealand 7s17 : 38
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