New York Red Bulls vs Juárez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup New York Red Bulls - Juárez
Result
2:1 penalties
07/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 3
New York Red Bulls - Juárez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.31
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
78% (366/470)78% (345/442)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.621.15
Total shots
618
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
316
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1238
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
78% (366/470)78% (345/442)
Long passes
30% (19/63)68% (48/71)
Passes in final third
55% (78/143)77% (107/139)
Crosses
0% (0/13)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.20
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
1113
Tackles
68% (17/25)32% (7/22)
Duels won
5766
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.150.62
Goals prevented
0.15-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Murillo J. , Manriquez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Nealis D. , Morales M. (A),
  • 55', Puma , Fulgencio R. ,
  • 55', Guilherme Castilho , Pizarro R. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. , Forsberg E. ,
  • 60', Rojas A. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 61', Carmona W. , Sofo M. ,
  • 74', Madson , Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ,
  • 74', Ricardinho , Zaldivar A. ,
  • 75', Bogacz W. , Mehmeti A. ,
  • 75', Hall J. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 84', Morales M. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Estupinan O. , Torres Ramirez I. J. M. (A),
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 1, Estupinan O. (Pen),
  • 2, Eile N. (Pen),
  • 2, Pizarro R. (Pen),
  • 3, Morales M. (Pen),
  • 3, Garcia D. (Pen),
  • 4, Parker T. (Pen),
  • 4, Fulgencio R. (Pen),
  • 5, Forsberg E. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
42.1%
Draw
26.4%
Juárez
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 26.1% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.8% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juárez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juárez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Juárez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.77)
    3.51
    (3.25)
    2.94
    (3.25)
    8%
    (18%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Juárez?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Juárez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Juárez has had a series of away games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Juárez
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    25.07.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:1
    19.07.2025 Tigres UANL - Juárez 1:0
    11.07.2025 Juárez - Club América 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxyPachuca2 : 1
    2Seattle SoundersPuebla1 : 0
    3Inter MiamiTigres UANL2 : 1
    4TolucaOrlando City0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders0 : 2
    2Inter MiamiOrlando City3 : 1

    Final
    1Seattle SoundersInter Miami3 : 0

    3rd place
    2Los Angeles GalaxyOrlando City2 : 1
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