Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2
Result
2:3 penalties
11/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.09
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
96
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Long passes
41% (25/61)71% (17/24)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)82% (160/194)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.74
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
69
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.091.44
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ayari H. , Chisholm M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Nugent J. , Henry M. (A), Bossenberry A. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Stojadinovic M. 🟥,
  • 61', De Rosario A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 61', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jimenez M. , Mitchell R. ,
  • 62', Schwarz B. , Kasule I. ,
  • 71', Henry M. , Edwards N. ,
  • 71', Kapor S. , Chukwu R. ,
  • 71', Ayari H. , Olguin L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Mosquera R. ,
  • 80', Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. ,
  • 84', Kasule I. 🟨,
  • 84', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 85', Rojas A. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 90+2', Jarvis A. , Nelich D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Kasule I. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 3, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mitchell R. (Pen),
  • 4, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),
  • 5, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Rosborough T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
28.3%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.7% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.96)
    3.74
    (3.79)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0
    28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3
    09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    09.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    4New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    5New York City II21724840:4329
    6Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    7Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    8Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville191032442:2138
    2Chattanooga21843633:3335
    3Orlando City B217221029:4327
    4Carolina Core21544828:3027
    5Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    6Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    7Inter Miami II206031132:4521


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County201023542:3437
    2Town FC181022444:2536
    3Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    5Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    6Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    7Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    3Austin FC II20735526:2332
    4North Texas20831834:4031
    5Minnesota 220813833:3329
    6Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    7Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2211322451:4245
    2Philadelphia Union II201052345:1942
    3Huntsville191032442:2138
    4Chicago Fire II201032552:3638
    5New England Revolution II19851533:2435
    6Chattanooga21843633:3335
    7New York City II21724840:4329
    8Cincinnati 220570823:2729
    9Toronto FC II21804925:3428
    10Orlando City B217221029:4327
    11Carolina Core21544828:3027
    12Crown Legacy21535833:4326
    13Atlanta United 219426727:3222
    14Inter Miami II206031132:4521
    15Columbus Crew 2203131322:4314


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2211430447:2948
    2Ventura County201023542:3437
    3Town FC181022444:2536
    4Colorado Rapids 2211014640:3336
    5Real Monarchs19743535:3232
    6Austin FC II20735526:2332
    7North Texas20831834:4031
    8Minnesota 220813833:3329
    9Vancouver Whitecaps 2217311044:4228
    10Tacoma Defiance19721949:5026
    11Houston Dynamo 2216321029:3526
    12Portland Timbers 220623932:3825
    13Los Angeles FC II206211133:4523
    14Sporting Kansas City II202131420:4911

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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