Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2
Result
2:3 penalties
11/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.09
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
96
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Long passes
41% (25/61)71% (17/24)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)82% (160/194)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.74
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
69
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.091.44
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ayari H. , Chisholm M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Nugent J. , Henry M. (A), Bossenberry A. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Stojadinovic M. 🟥,
  • 61', De Rosario A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 61', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jimenez M. , Mitchell R. ,
  • 62', Schwarz B. , Kasule I. ,
  • 71', Henry M. , Edwards N. ,
  • 71', Kapor S. , Chukwu R. ,
  • 71', Ayari H. , Olguin L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Mosquera R. ,
  • 80', Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. ,
  • 84', Kasule I. 🟨,
  • 84', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 85', Rojas A. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 90+2', Jarvis A. , Nelich D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Kasule I. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 3, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mitchell R. (Pen),
  • 4, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),
  • 5, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Rosborough T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
28.3%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.7% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.96)
    3.74
    (3.79)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0
    28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3
    09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    09.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II236041335:5722


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II236041335:5722
    15Columbus Crew 2234131529:5417


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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