Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2
Result
2:3 penalties
11/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.09
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
96
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Long passes
41% (25/61)71% (17/24)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)82% (160/194)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.74
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
69
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.091.44
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ayari H. , Chisholm M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Nugent J. , Henry M. (A), Bossenberry A. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Stojadinovic M. 🟥,
  • 61', De Rosario A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 61', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jimenez M. , Mitchell R. ,
  • 62', Schwarz B. , Kasule I. ,
  • 71', Henry M. , Edwards N. ,
  • 71', Kapor S. , Chukwu R. ,
  • 71', Ayari H. , Olguin L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Mosquera R. ,
  • 80', Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. ,
  • 84', Kasule I. 🟨,
  • 84', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 85', Rojas A. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 90+2', Jarvis A. , Nelich D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Kasule I. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 3, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mitchell R. (Pen),
  • 4, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),
  • 5, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Rosborough T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
28.3%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.7% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.96)
    3.74
    (3.79)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0
    28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3
    09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    09.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2261623565:5355
    2Philadelphia Union II271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II271352749:3551
    4Chicago Fire II261242864:5046
    5Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    6New York City II269241150:5635
    7Cincinnati 2267701234:3935
    8Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville261242849:3146
    2Chattanooga251144639:3545
    3Carolina Core26854939:3838
    4Orlando City B269321234:4835
    5Atlanta United 225826938:3934
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II266151437:6325


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC251342656:3249
    2Real Monarchs261144747:3945
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    4Ventura County2610241046:4838
    5Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    6Los Angeles FC II269211444:5632
    7Tacoma Defiance268221456:6630


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2261741458:3460
    2Colorado Rapids 2261414752:3848
    3North Texas2610421040:5040
    4Minnesota 22610241040:4038
    5Austin FC II279351033:3538
    6Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    7Sporting Kansas City II263241728:6217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 261623565:5355
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 271352749:3551
    4Huntsville ✔ 261242849:3146
    5Chicago Fire II ✔ 261242864:5046
    6Chattanooga ✔ 251144639:3545
    7Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    8Carolina Core26854939:3838
    9New York City II269241150:5635
    10Orlando City B269321234:4835
    11Cincinnati 2267701234:3935
    12Atlanta United 225826938:3934
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II266151437:6325
    15Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 261741458:3460
    2Town FC ✔ 251342656:3249
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 261414752:3848
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 261144747:3945
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 22611411059:4842
    6North Texas2610421040:5040
    7Minnesota 22610241040:4038
    8Ventura County2610241046:4838
    9Austin FC II279351033:3538
    10Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    11Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    12Los Angeles FC II269211444:5632
    13Tacoma Defiance268221456:6630
    14Sporting Kansas City II263241728:6217

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2?
    It is being streamed on channel
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