Toronto FC II vs New York Red Bulls 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2
Result
2:3 penalties
11/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.441.09
Total shots
621
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1242
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
96
Passes
82% (332/405)87% (475/545)
Long passes
41% (25/61)71% (17/24)
Passes in final third
67% (61/91)82% (160/194)
Crosses
33% (3/9)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.74
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
69
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3932
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.091.44
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ayari H. , Chisholm M. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Nugent J. , Henry M. (A), Bossenberry A. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Stojadinovic M. 🟥,
  • 61', De Rosario A. 🟨,
  • 61', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 61', Collahuazo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Rojas A. 🟨,
  • 62', Jimenez M. , Mitchell R. ,
  • 62', Schwarz B. , Kasule I. ,
  • 71', Henry M. , Edwards N. ,
  • 71', Kapor S. , Chukwu R. ,
  • 71', Ayari H. , Olguin L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Mosquera R. ,
  • 80', Bossenberry A. , Fortier T. ,
  • 84', Kasule I. 🟨,
  • 84', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 85', Rojas A. , Rosborough T. ,
  • 90+2', Jarvis A. , Nelich D. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Rosborough T. , Mosquera R. (A),
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, McDonald P. (Pen),
  • 1, Kasule I. (Pen),
  • 2, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Mosquera R. (Pen),
  • 3, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 3, Mitchell R. (Pen),
  • 4, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 4, Nelich D. (Pen),
  • 5, Nolan J. (Pen),
  • 5, Rosborough T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
28.3%
Draw
24.5%
New York Red Bulls 2
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 24.1% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 23.7% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.96)
    3.74
    (3.79)
    1.94
    (2.03)
    9.4%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • New York Red Bulls 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 were as follows:
    22.09.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:0
    28.07.2024 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 4:3
    09.06.2024 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    01.09.2023 Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2 0:3
    09.08.2023 New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II 1:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    4New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    5Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    6Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    7New York City II16523630:3322
    8Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga17823427:2431
    2Orlando City B17721726:3026
    3Huntsville15632429:1826
    4Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    5Carolina Core17334721:2419
    6Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    7Inter Miami II175021028:3917


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    3Town FC14622431:1924
    4Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    5Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    6Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    7Portland Timbers 216512826:3219


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    3North Texas17721728:3426
    4Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    5Austin FC II16533519:2024
    6Minnesota 215702625:2123
    7Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chattanooga17823427:2431
    4Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    5New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    6Orlando City B17721726:3026
    7Huntsville15632429:1826
    8Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    9Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    10Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    11New York City II16523630:3322
    12Carolina Core17334721:2419
    13Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    14Inter Miami II175021028:3917
    15Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    4North Texas17721728:3426
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    6Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    7Town FC14622431:1924
    8Austin FC II16533519:2024
    9Minnesota 215702625:2123
    10Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    11Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    12Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    13Portland Timbers 216512826:3219
    14Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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