Philadelphia Union II vs New York City II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Subaru Park (Chester, PA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	1.91
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	5
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
70% (218/312)	81% (414/511)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44	1.91
xG on target (xGOT)
4.23	2.87
Total shots
22	9
Shots on target
12	5
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
17	6
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
38	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
70% (218/312)	81% (414/511)
Long passes
36% (18/50)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)	57% (57/100)
Crosses
35% (8/23)	0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	0.61
Throw-ins
20	12
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
100% (12/12)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
36	46
Clearances
12	29
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
2.87	4.23
Goals prevented
-0.13	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
22', Elias P. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, Sequera G. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Garfield Reid S. ⚽, Musu S. (A),
36', Pariano N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Ponce J. ⚽, Lacher J. (A),
45', 2 - 2, Pierre N. ⚽, Olney C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 3 - 2, Korzeniowski S. ⚽, Olney C. (A),
62', Griffin J. ↓, Benitez O. ↑,
62', Sullivan C. ↓, LeBlanc K. ↑,
62', Korzeniowski S. ↓, Olivas S. ↑,
62', Davis E. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
64', Elias P. ↓, Sunjic L. ↑,
72', Lacher J. ↓, Guarino E. ↑,
72', Musu S. ↓, De Pinho L. ↑,
74', Anderson M. ↓, Probst N. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Garfield Reid S. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Pierre N. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Philadelphia Union II
69.2%

Draw
17.8%

New York City II
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

19.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Philadelphia Union II - New York City II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	5.2 ↑ (4.75)	7.17 ↑ (6.14)	7.8% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
Philadelphia II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 4.
Philadelphia II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New York City II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
New York City II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Philadelphia II is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Philadelphia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union II won against New York City II?

Philadelphia Union II has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New York City II won against Philadelphia Union II?

New York City II has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union II - New York City II were as follows:

26.07.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 0:2

23.04.2025 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 1:4

20.10.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 1:0

23.09.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New York City II 4:3

19.07.2024 New York City II - Philadelphia Union II 2:1

Latest results of Philadelphia Union II

26.09.2025 Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Philadelphia Union II - Chicago Fire II 5:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Columbus Crew 2 - Philadelphia Union II 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Philadelphia Union II 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II 1:3 ✺

Latest results of New York City II

28.09.2025 New York City II - Chattanooga 0:1 ✺

18.09.2025 New York City II - New England Revolution II 1:3 ✺

14.09.2025 Chicago Fire II - New York City II 4:5 ✺

31.08.2025 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0 ✺

22.08.2025 New York City II - Columbus Crew 2 3:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

Main

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
5	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
2	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
3	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	17	2	3	6	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	15	5	3	5	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	14	5	2	7	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	13	5	4	6	42:36	53
5	Huntsville	28	14	4	2	8	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	12	5	2	9	69:58	48
7	Cincinnati 2	28	9	7	0	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	8	5	5	10	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	10	2	4	12	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	9	2	7	10	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	9	4	2	13	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	9	2	4	13	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	6	1	5	16	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	5	1	5	17	40:64	22

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	17	5	1	5	60:37	62
2	Town FC	28	14	4	2	8	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	15	1	4	8	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	13	4	4	7	55:42	51
5	Minnesota 2	28	12	2	4	10	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	11	4	2	11	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	11	4	1	12	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	11	2	4	11	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	10	3	5	10	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	10	2	4	12	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	9	4	2	13	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	10	2	2	14	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	9	2	2	15	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	3	2	4	19	30:67	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Philadelphia Union II - New York City II?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro