Tulsa vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Tulsa - New Mexico United
Result
5:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)
Tulsa - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.08
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
65% (139/215)86% (431/501)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.150.79
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
68
Passes
65% (139/215)86% (431/501)
Long passes
25% (14/56)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
40% (25/63)78% (114/146)
Crosses
50% (3/6)10% (3/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.02
Throw-ins
624
Fouls
96
Tackles
56% (5/9)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
304
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.792.15
Goals prevented
-1.21-2.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Jabang O. , Lindsey J. (A),
  • 45+1', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Amann T. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 46', 2 - 2, St.Clair H. ,
  • 51', 3 - 2, Marcos Serrato , Rogers A. (A),
  • 54', 4 - 2, Elmedkhar K. , Calheira T. (A),
  • 55', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 61', St.Clair H. , Stauffer L. ,
  • 62', Calheira T. 🟨,
  • 63', Zelalem G. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 71', Marcos Serrato , Dalou A. ,
  • 71', Webber J. , Colli G. ,
  • 75', Hurst G. , Amang T. ,
  • 75', Akale M. , Rivas S. ,
  • 76', Bailey Z. , Vargas M. ,
  • 76', Lindsey J. , Harris D. ,
  • 78', Cissoko A. , Pierre D. ,
  • 84', 5 - 2, Dalou A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
46.3%
Draw
27%
New Mexico United
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 26.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 25.9% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Tulsa - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.16)
    3.43
    (3.45)
    3.48
    (3)
    7.9%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
    • Tulsa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New Mexico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - New Mexico United were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Tulsa - New Mexico United 1:1
    14.08.2024 New Mexico United - Tulsa 3:3
    26.08.2023 New Mexico United - Tulsa 2:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    06.08.2025 Monterey Bay - Tulsa 2:3
    01.08.2025 Tulsa - Loudoun United 3:2
    26.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Tulsa 2:1
    19.07.2025 Louisville City - Tulsa 1:1
    16.07.2025 Tulsa - Monterey Bay 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston21152445:222347
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2194832:33-131
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tulsa - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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