New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Verso M. (Usa)
New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.120.72
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
83% (385/464)78% (225/290)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.120.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.65
Total shots
79
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
16
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
83% (385/464)78% (225/290)
Long passes
41% (24/59)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)58% (60/104)
Crosses
23% (3/13)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.57
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1320
Tackles
80% (4/5)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
1414
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.650.08
Goals prevented
-1.350.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Bailey Z. 🟨,
  • 38', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Bennett K. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 57', Djedje R. 🟨,
  • 65', Amang T. , Archimede L. ,
  • 65', Akale M. , Harris D. ,
  • 66', Archimede L. 🟨,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Bennett K. ,
  • 73', Lopez R. , Willey B. ,
  • 73', Djedje R. , Spaulding R. ,
  • 74', Seymore W. , Maples T. ,
  • 74', Jabang O. , Rivas S. ,
  • 74', Gloster C. , Ryden K. ,
  • 83', Parano C. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 89', Desmond L. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 90', Bennett K. , Herrera J. ,
  • 90+1', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
38.5%
Draw
29.6%
Sacramento Republic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 29.9% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 29.8% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.73)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    2.91
    (2.55)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.
    • New Mexico has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 2:1
    29.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 4:0
    18.09.2024 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 3:1
    21.10.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 1:0
    20.09.2023 Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United 0:0
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City22156145:182751
    2Charleston22152545:232247
    3Loudoun22104835:34134
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2285932:27529
    6Detroit2278725:25029
    7Pittsburgh2277821:21028
    8Indy Eleven22751035:40-526
    9Rhode Island22661016:23-724
    10Tampa Bay21631224:32-821
    11Birmingham2249928:37-921
    12Miami FC22551222:37-1520


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa22126437:251242
    2Sacramento Republic2197531:171434
    3El Paso2188536:30632
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5San Antonio2186726:27-130
    6Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    7Orange County SC2084832:29328
    8New Mexico2083926:30-427
    9Colorado Springs2176827:29-227
    10Oakland Roots21731125:32-724
    11Monterey Bay23661123:30-724
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic?
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