Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : USL Championship
- Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (515/598) | 79% (218/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (515/598) | 79% (218/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (108/152) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Avayevu H. ⚽,
- 37', Rivera D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Amang T. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
- 55', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 56', Rivera D. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 56', Cabral R. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 58', Tambakis A. 🟥,
- 61', Essengue A. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 2, Johnson D. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
- 69', Bailey Z. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 69', Vargas M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 69', Montgomery B. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 69', Avayevu H. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Gaines M. ⚽, Seymore W. (A),
- 87', Ping J. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 90+2', Jabang O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
54.2% | Draw
24.1% | Phoenix Rising
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.52) |
3.87 ↓
(3.99) |
4.31 ↓
(5.83) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against New Mexico United?
Phoenix Rising has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
03.11.2024
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
2:1
09.10.2024
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
30.03.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
New Mexico United
0:1
07.10.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
New Mexico United
1:2
21.06.2023
New Mexico United
-
Phoenix Rising
1:3
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Loudoun | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Louisville City | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Detroit | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New Mexico | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Tulsa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | El Paso | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Monterey Bay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Orange County SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Lexington | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
