Orange County SC vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Orange County SC - New Mexico United
Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
Orange County SC - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.27
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Long passes
54% (38/71)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
47% (55/116)73% (82/113)
Crosses
29% (5/17)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.63
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1320
Tackles
50% (6/12)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.270.98
Goals prevented
-0.730.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 31', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 55', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
  • 55', Trager T. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
  • 55', Partida K. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
  • 59', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 64', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 67', Zelalem G. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
  • 68', Amang T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
  • 68', MacKinnon L. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
  • 75', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
  • 80', Santos K. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 83', Hegardt C. 🟨,
  • 88', Luiz Fernando ↓, Sais J. ↑,
  • 88', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
  • 90', Pondeca T. 🟨,
  • 90', Bruce D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zubak E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Brewitt T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
43.4%		Draw
27.7%		New Mexico United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 27.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.14 ↓
    (2.28)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.25)    		 3.21 ↑
    (2.99)    		 7.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Orange County SC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
    • Orange County SC could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:0
    03.07.2024 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 2:0
    29.07.2023 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    09.05.2025 North Carolina - Orange County SC 1:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    19.04.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 2:0
    15.04.2025 AV Alta - Orange County SC 3:2
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.05.2025 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 3:0
    26.04.2025 New Mexico United - Union Omaha 2:0
    23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City1394023:91431
    2Charleston1291228:131528
    3Loudoun1281323:131025
    4North Carolina1262417:13420
    5Detroit1345417:18-117
    6Rhode Island1343613:14-115
    7Pittsburgh124269:11-214
    8Indy Eleven1135319:20-114
    9Miami FC1141612:16-413
    10Birmingham1224614:20-610
    11Tampa Bay1222812:21-98
    12Hartford Athletic1113710:19-96


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1271417:12522
    2FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    3San Antonio1363418:16221
    4Phoenix Rising1355323:20320
    5El Paso1355321:19220
    6Monterey Bay1454515:15019
    7Orange County SC1251617:20-316
    8Las Vegas Lights134369:18-915
    9Colorado Springs1336417:19-215
    10Sacramento Republic1135315:11414
    11Oakland Roots1332813:23-1011
    12Lexington1325613:21-811

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orange County SC - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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