Result
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
New Mexico United
45.1% | Draw
26.9% | Orange County SC
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
New Mexico United - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.04) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
3.31 ↓
(3.37) |
7.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
- New Mexico is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orange County SC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New Mexico could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Orange County SC were as follows:
17.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:3
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
29.07.2023
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
1:0
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Which TV channels are streaming of New Mexico United - Orange County SC?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
