Louisville City vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Louisville City - New Mexico United
Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
Louisville City - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.02
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
285
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Long passes
50% (15/30)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)70% (38/54)
Crosses
30% (12/40)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.54
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1310
Tackles
88% (7/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
1131
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.28
Goals prevented
0.020.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ordonez A. , Totsch S. ,
  • 67', Serrano R. , Ownby B. ,
  • 67', Goodrum P. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 67', Morris J. , Dia A. ,
  • 69', Jabang O. , Rivas S. ,
  • 72', Amang T. , Archimede L. ,
  • 73', Hurst G. , Ryden K. ,
  • 73', Akale M. , Harris D. ,
  • 83', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%
Draw
19.9%
New Mexico United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.5% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 20.6% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Louisville City - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.51)
    4.65
    (4.29)
    6.28
    (5.21)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Louisville City - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - New Mexico United were as follows:
    03.08.2024 New Mexico United - Louisville City 0:1
    30.09.2023 New Mexico United - Louisville City 2:0
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 25186151:193260
    2Charleston ✔ 25173552:272554
    3North Carolina25124938:34440
    4Loudoun25115941:42-138
    5Hartford Athletic251051038:29935
    6Pittsburgh2597925:24134
    7Detroit2588929:31-232
    8Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    9Indy Eleven25851238:44-629
    10Tampa Bay25751333:40-726
    11Birmingham254101131:44-1322
    12Miami FC26561522:40-1821


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa25138440:271347
    2Sacramento Republic24118537:191841
    3New Mexico251141034:33137
    4San Antonio24106834:31336
    5Lexington2598827:30-335
    6El Paso2589839:37233
    7Phoenix Rising25711742:44-232
    8Colorado Springs25871033:37-431
    9Orange County SC23851035:37-229
    10Oakland Roots24751229:38-926
    11Monterey Bay26671325:37-1225
    12Las Vegas Lights25671219:42-2325

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Louisville City - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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