Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II
Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.40
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Long passes
51% (22/43)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)77% (76/99)
Crosses
38% (8/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.49
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (16/26)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.401.96
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. , Ayari H. (A),
  • 11', Barry H. , Ackerman E. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. , Diarbian G. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ,
  • 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Barrow D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 54', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 64', McDonald P. , Chisholm M. ,
  • 64', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 64', Ayari H. , Bossenberry A. ,
  • 64', Kapor S. , Ythallo ,
  • 66', Oliveira C. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Nolan J. , Nugent J. ,
  • 76', Hutchinson D. , Siqueira J. ,
  • 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
  • 85', Ackerman E. , Buck J. ,
  • 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 2, Ythallo (Pen),
  • 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
  • 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 3, Souza V. (Pen),
  • 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
  • 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
  • 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
  • 5, Butts L. (Pen),
  • 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 6, Buck J. (Pen),
  • 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
  • 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
  • 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
  • 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
  • 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
  • 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
  • 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
  • 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 12, Souza V. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%
Draw
25.1%
New England Revolution II
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.71)
    3.67
    (3.38)
    1.96
    (2.38)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
    • Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
    • New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
    28.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 4:0
    08.09.2024 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 3:2
    19.04.2024 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 1:1
    18.08.2023 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 0:0
    23.06.2023 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    4New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    5Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    6New York City II248241044:4932
    7Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    8Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville231142646:2743
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B249221133:4633
    4Carolina Core24744935:3633
    5Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    6Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    7Inter Miami II246041435:6122


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC231242551:2946
    2Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    3Ventura County241024845:4238
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    5Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    6Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    7Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    3Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    4North Texas249411037:4836
    5Austin FC II24835829:3035
    6Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    7Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2241522561:5051
    2Philadelphia Union II241153550:2746
    3Huntsville231142646:2743
    4Chicago Fire II231142656:3943
    5New England Revolution II221052542:2942
    6Chattanooga231043635:3341
    7Toronto FC II241014931:3636
    8Orlando City B249221133:4633
    9Carolina Core24744935:3633
    10New York City II248241044:4932
    11Atlanta United 223726835:3531
    12Crown Legacy256351142:4929
    13Cincinnati 2235701126:3329
    14Inter Miami II246041435:6122
    15Columbus Crew 2245131533:5420


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2241631455:3255
    2Town FC231242551:2946
    3Colorado Rapids 2241314648:3645
    4Real Monarchs24944742:3739
    5Ventura County241024845:4238
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 22410311054:4537
    7Minnesota 2241023938:3737
    8North Texas249411037:4836
    9Austin FC II24835829:3035
    10Los Angeles FC II249211240:4832
    11Houston Dynamo 2247421134:3931
    12Portland Timbers 2247241137:4629
    13Tacoma Defiance237221252:5927
    14Sporting Kansas City II243131725:5914

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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