Toronto FC II vs New England Revolution II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II
Result
3:4 penalties
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.40
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3128
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (374/442)87% (363/418)
Long passes
51% (22/43)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
72% (85/118)77% (76/99)
Crosses
38% (8/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.49
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
148
Tackles
62% (16/26)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.401.96
Goals prevented
-0.60-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Stojadinovic M. , Ayari H. (A),
  • 11', Barry H. , Ackerman E. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Butts L. , Diarbian G. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Diarbian G. ,
  • 45+2', Hutchinson D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Barrow D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 3, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 54', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Barrow D. , Henry M. (A),
  • 64', McDonald P. , Chisholm M. ,
  • 64', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 64', Ayari H. , Bossenberry A. ,
  • 64', Kapor S. , Ythallo ,
  • 66', Oliveira C. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Nolan J. , Nugent J. ,
  • 76', Hutchinson D. , Siqueira J. ,
  • 77', Fisher R. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 3, Dahlin G. (Own goal),
  • 85', Ackerman E. , Buck J. ,
  • 90+1', Souza V. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Fisher R. 🟥,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 2, Ythallo (Pen),
  • 2, Diarbian G. (Pen),
  • 3, Iliadis C. (Pen),
  • 3, Souza V. (Pen),
  • 4, Bossenberry A. (Pen),
  • 4, Mussenden J. (Pen),
  • 5, Fisher R. (Pen),
  • 5, Butts L. (Pen),
  • 6, Edwards N. (Pen),
  • 6, Buck J. (Pen),
  • 7, Nugent J. (Pen),
  • 7, Siqueira J. (Pen),
  • 8, Barrow D. (Pen),
  • 8, Emerhi G. (Pen),
  • 9, Stojadinovic M. (Pen),
  • 9, Lopez I. (Pen),
  • 10, Chisholm M. (Pen),
  • 10, Gunn J. (Pen),
  • 11, De Rosario A. (Pen),
  • 11, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 12, Sullivan M. (Pen),
  • 12, Souza V. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%
Draw
25.1%
New England Revolution II
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 27.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • New England Revolution II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.71)
    3.67
    (3.38)
    1.96
    (2.38)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New England II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0.
    • Toronto II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • New England II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • New England II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New England II has had a series of home games.
    • New England II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
    28.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 4:0
    08.09.2024 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 3:2
    19.04.2024 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 1:1
    18.08.2023 Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II 0:0
    23.06.2023 New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County15911429:2230
    2Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    4Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    5Town FC12521424:1420
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    3North Texas15621625:3023
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 213602522:1720
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County15911429:2230
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4North Texas15621625:3023
    5Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    6Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    8Austin FC II14433413:1521
    9Minnesota 213602522:1720
    10Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    11Town FC12521424:1420
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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