Result
1:1
25/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Challenge League - Round 5
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/313) | 86% (524/611) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/313) | 86% (524/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 62% (43/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 71% (125/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 39% (11/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kone K. ⚽,
- 15', Epitaux Y. 🟨,
- 39', Carraco D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Schwizer D. ↓, Hoxha F. ↑,
- 46', Bayard R. 🟨,
- 58', Monsberger M. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 59', Akinola A. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
- 62', Ben Seghir S. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
- 62', Demhasaj S. ↓, Deme M. ↑,
- 62', Carraco D. ↓, Abedini E. ↑,
- 68', Kone K. 🟨,
- 69', Saiz F. ↓, Sidibe I. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽,
- 81', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
- 83', Eberhard M. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neuchâtel Xamax
43.7% | Draw
25.5% | Vaduz
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neuchâtel Xamax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neuchâtel Xamax's performance.Vaduz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaduz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neuchâtel Xamax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaduz than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaduz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.52) |
3.76 ↑
(3.7) |
3.11 ↑
(2.5) |
4.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vaduz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 1.
- Xamax is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Vaduz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vaduz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Xamax: Krasniqi J.
(Inactive)
Mulaj L.
(Knee Injury)
Zahaj E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vaduz: Sawadogo M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Vaduz?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaduz won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Vaduz has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz were as follows:
06.04.2025
Vaduz
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
14.02.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Vaduz
0:0
08.11.2024
Vaduz
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
2:1
30.08.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Vaduz
4:1
11.05.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Vaduz
1:1
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Stade Nyonnais | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Lausanne Ouchy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Wil | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
Which TV channels are streaming of Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
