Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Vysshaya Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Yasel A. (Blr)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Tishko A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Yablonskiy M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
- 46', Borubaev G. ↓, Devyaten A. ↑,
- 57', Chebotar V. ↓, Doumbia S. ↑,
- 83', Nazarenko A. ↓, Gavrilov Y. ↑,
- 85', Bamba L. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
- 85', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
- 88', Dukso M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Klochkov Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', Pushnyakov S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bamba M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smorgon
21.8% | Draw
25.6% | Neman Grodno
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neman Grodno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smorgon - Neman Grodno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.35 ↓
(8.1) |
3.7 ↓
(4.05) |
1.8 ↑
(1.41) |
5.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.
- In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neman has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Neman has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neman is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Neman Grodno?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neman Grodno won against Smorgon?
Neman Grodno has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Neman Grodno were as follows:
11.05.2025
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
0:1
23.11.2024
Smorgon
-
Neman Grodno
0:0
29.06.2024
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
2:1
01.10.2023
Smorgon
-
Neman Grodno
1:3
14.05.2023
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
3:1
Latest results of Smorgon
Latest results of Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Isloch | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 40 |
| 8 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 31:21 | 10 | 35 |
| 9 | BATE | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11:36 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16:55 | -39 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
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