Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch
Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 15
Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ,
  • 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
  • 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 56', Abdullazhonov S. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
  • 66', Bobodzhonov M. , Samiev S. ,
  • 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruziev K. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 80', Abdukhamidov R. , Akhrorov A. ,
  • 80', Toshpulatov I. , Narh F. ,
  • 80', Azimov J. , Shaakhmedov S. ,
  • 90+4', Ciger B. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
70.3%
Draw
19.6%
Xorazm Urganch
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.4% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.3% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.69
    (4.76)
    9.15
    (8.11)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi1596029:121733
    2Neftchi Fargona1586125:131230
    3Din. Samarkand1585221:17429
    4Bunyodkor1576225:141127
    5OKMK1583422:17527
    6Pakhtakor1582531:141726
    7Navbahor Namangan1582530:161426
    8Termez Surkhon1553712:16-418
    9Andijan1545619:23-417
    10Qizilqum1545615:25-1017
    11Sogdiana1544717:19-216
    12Mashal Muborak1543813:28-1515
    13Xorazm Urganch1542916:18-214
    14Buxoro1534816:26-1013
    15Kokand 19121533910:25-1512
    16Shortan Guzor1523108:26-189

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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