Neftchi Fargona vs Xorazm Urganch: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch
Result
2:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 15
Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Gofurov A. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ,
  • 31', Ciger B. 🟨,
  • 41', Bobodzhonov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 56', Abdullazhonov S. , Ismoilov T. ,
  • 61', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 63', Juraev D. 🟨,
  • 66', Bobodzhonov M. , Samiev S. ,
  • 68', Ismoilov T. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Marusic Z. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 70', Marusic Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Ruziev K. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 80', Abdukhamidov R. , Akhrorov A. ,
  • 80', Toshpulatov I. , Narh F. ,
  • 80', Azimov J. , Shaakhmedov S. ,
  • 90+4', Ciger B. , Gulyamov G. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
70.3%
Draw
19.6%
Xorazm Urganch
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.4% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 18.3% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Xorazm Urganch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.33)
    4.69
    (4.76)
    9.15
    (8.11)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Xorazm will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi Fargona: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • Neftchi Fargona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Xorazm's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Xorazm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Xorazm Urganch
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi24158146:192753
    2Neftchi Fargona24156339:192051
    3Pakhtakor24144649:202946
    4Din. Samarkand23128335:251044
    5Bunyodkor241010438:30840
    6OKMK24124835:27840
    7Navbahor Namangan24107739:291037
    8Qizilqum2478920:30-1029
    9Sogdiana24771030:30028
    10Kokand 191224751220:35-1526
    11Andijan23671028:36-825
    12Termez Surkhon24671118:26-825
    13Mashal Muborak24651318:40-2223
    14Xorazm Urganch24561325:30-521
    15Buxoro24561324:41-1721
    16Shortan Guzor24261616:43-2712

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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