Neftchi Fargona vs Shurtan Guzar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar
Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 11
  • Referee: Suyunboyev X. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
174
Red Cards
01
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
174
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Mannonov J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ,
  • 45+4', Kodirov G. , Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ubaydullaev M. , Sayfiev F. ,
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 46', Eshbutaev S. , Abduraimov S. ,
  • 60', Ruziev K. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Iskanderov J. ,
  • 67', Boltaboev J. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 70', Rahmatov B. , Saidkhonov A. ,
  • 70', Mamasidikov T. , Sharipov D. ,
  • 76', Ismoilov A. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Toshmirzaev B. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
71.4%
Draw
19.1%
Shurtan Guzar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.4% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 19.3% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Shurtan Guzar aligns with the current prediction.
  • Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.32)
    4.83
    (4.5)
    9.74
    (9.16)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    4OKMK17103426:18833
    5Bunyodkor1787228:161231
    6Pakhtakor1893634:171730
    7Navbahor Namangan1784533:191428
    8Andijan1756623:24-121
    9Qizilqum1756616:25-921
    10Sogdiana1855821:22-120
    11Termez Surkhon1755714:18-420
    12Xorazm Urganch1753921:21018
    13Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    14Buxoro17341016:29-1313
    15Kokand 191217331111:30-1912
    16Shortan Guzor17241110:30-2010

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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