Neftchi Fargona vs Shurtan Guzar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar
Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 11
  • Referee: Suyunboyev X. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
174
Red Cards
01
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
174
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Mannonov J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ,
  • 45+4', Kodirov G. , Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ubaydullaev M. , Sayfiev F. ,
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 46', Eshbutaev S. , Abduraimov S. ,
  • 60', Ruziev K. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Iskanderov J. ,
  • 67', Boltaboev J. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 70', Rahmatov B. , Saidkhonov A. ,
  • 70', Mamasidikov T. , Sharipov D. ,
  • 76', Ismoilov A. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Toshmirzaev B. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
71.4%
Draw
19.1%
Shurtan Guzar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.4% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 19.3% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Shurtan Guzar aligns with the current prediction.
  • Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.32)
    4.83
    (4.5)
    9.74
    (9.16)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi20127136:162043
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK20114529:20937
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2095637:231432
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Termez Surkhon2065918:23-523
    10Sogdiana2056922:25-321
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    13Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    14Mashal Muborak20531216:38-2218
    15Buxoro20451119:32-1317
    16Shortan Guzor20251314:37-2311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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