Neftchi Fargona vs Shurtan Guzar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar
Result
4:0
24/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 11
  • Referee: Suyunboyev X. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Corner Kicks
174
Red Cards
01
Total shots
40
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
174
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Mannonov J. 🟥,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ,
  • 45+4', Kodirov G. , Toshkuziev A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ubaydullaev M. , Sayfiev F. ,
  • 46', Tabatadze T. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 46', Eshbutaev S. , Abduraimov S. ,
  • 60', Ruziev K. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Iskanderov J. ,
  • 67', Boltaboev J. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 70', Rahmatov B. , Saidkhonov A. ,
  • 70', Mamasidikov T. , Sharipov D. ,
  • 76', Ismoilov A. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Yuldoshev I. ,
  • 84', 4 - 0, Toshmirzaev B. ,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
71.4%
Draw
19.1%
Shurtan Guzar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.4% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 19.3% 9.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Shurtan Guzar aligns with the current prediction.
  • Neftchi Fargona - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.32)
    4.83
    (4.5)
    9.74
    (9.16)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
    • Neftchi Fargona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shurtan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shurtan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi23157144:172752
    2Neftchi Fargona22136336:191745
    3Pakhtakor22124644:202440
    4OKMK23124735:26940
    5Bunyodkor22108434:26838
    6Din. Samarkand21108331:25638
    7Navbahor Namangan23106738:281036
    8Qizilqum2368919:30-1126
    9Sogdiana2267928:28025
    10Termez Surkhon2267918:23-525
    11Andijan2267928:34-625
    12Kokand 191222641217:33-1622
    13Mashal Muborak22641218:39-2122
    14Xorazm Urganch23551324:29-520
    15Buxoro22551224:37-1320
    16Shortan Guzor22261415:39-2412

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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