Qizilqum vs Neftchi Fargona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona
Result
1:1
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 14
Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
716
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
513
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Rakhmatullaev S. , Jigauri J. ,
  • 56', Paparyga R. 🟨,
  • 67', Vakhobov I. 🟨,
  • 67', Jumankuziev F. , Bozorov B. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Alibaev I. , Ruziev K. (A),
  • 80', Anvarov D. , Usmonov M. ,
  • 80', Paparyga R. , Muzaffarov A. ,
  • 83', Tabatadze T. , Giyosov M. ,
  • 88', Ruziev K. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 88', Yuldoshev I. , Gadoev S. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Mijic D. , Jigauri J. (A),

Chances of winning


Qizilqum
14.1%
Draw
24.2%
Neftchi Fargona
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 25.3% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7% 24.4% 62.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qizilqum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.59
    (6.59)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    1.5
    (1.54)
    7.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 0.
    • Qizilqum is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Neftchi Fargona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.09.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:2
    06.05.2024 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    23.11.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 1:0
    26.05.2023 Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    29.08.2022 Neftchi Fargona - Qizilqum 2:1
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    19.06.2025 Andijan - Qizilqum 1:1
    06.06.2025 Qizilqum - Xorazm Urganch 0:3
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi1495027:101732
    2Din. Samarkand1484219:15428
    3Neftchi Fargona1476123:131027
    4Navbahor Namangan1482430:141626
    5Bunyodkor1466223:14924
    6OKMK1473421:17424
    7Pakhtakor1472529:141523
    8Termez Surkhon1553712:16-418
    9Andijan1445519:21-217
    10Qizilqum1545615:25-1017
    11Sogdiana1544717:19-216
    12Mashal Muborak1443713:27-1415
    13Xorazm Urganch1442816:16014
    14Buxoro1534816:26-1013
    15Kokand 19121533910:25-1512
    16Shortan Guzor1523108:26-189

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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