Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Fargona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 21
  • Referee: Kasimov N. (Uzb)
Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
28
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Turgunboev A. ,
  • 24', Flamarion 🟥,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Alibaev I. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 45+7', 2 - 1, Sergeev I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Odilov A. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 62', Erkinov K. , Adkhamzoda U. ,
  • 68', Kojo J. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 76', Yuldoshev I. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 78', Turgunboev A. , Khamdamov D. ,
  • 83', Sergeev I. , Riascos B. ,
  • 83', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
45.9%
Draw
28.8%
Neftchi Fargona
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.2% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.09)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    3.68
    (3.42)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Pakhtakor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:4
    13.09.2024 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    01.07.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:1
    18.06.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 1:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    05.08.2025 Pakhtakor - AGMK 1:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi22147142:162649
    2Neftchi Fargona22136336:191745
    3Pakhtakor22124644:202440
    4OKMK22124635:251040
    5Bunyodkor22108434:26838
    6Din. Samarkand21108331:25638
    7Navbahor Namangan2296737:28933
    8Qizilqum2268819:29-1026
    9Sogdiana2267928:28025
    10Termez Surkhon2267918:23-525
    11Andijan2157927:34-722
    12Kokand 191222641217:33-1622
    13Mashal Muborak22641218:39-2122
    14Xorazm Urganch22551223:27-420
    15Buxoro22551224:37-1320
    16Shortan Guzor22261415:39-2412

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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