Necaxa vs Club León: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga MX Necaxa - Club León
Result
0:1
15/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Garcia O. M. (Mex)
Necaxa - Club León - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2117
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
80% (301/374)77% (261/338)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.830.18
Total shots
2117
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
1112
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2816
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
80% (301/374)77% (261/338)
Long passes
58% (29/50)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)72% (85/118)
Crosses
10% (2/20)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.37
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1115
Tackles
59% (10/17)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5453
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.180.83
Goals prevented
-0.820.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ,
  • 14', Cambindo D. 🟨,
  • 38', Calderon C. , Rossano F. ,
  • 45+2', Echeverria R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Perez P. , Monreal R. ,
  • 58', Cortizo J. 🟨,
  • 62', Beltran Cruz F. , Arcila D. ,
  • 67', Reyes S. 🟨,
  • 70', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 72', Rojas J. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 76', Diaz I. , Moreno I. ,
  • 76', Alvarado A. , Funes Mori R. ,
  • 79', Cambindo D. , Badaloni T. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez I. , Cortez R. ,
  • 81', Sanchez R. 🟨,
  • 84', Fonseca N. (Pen),
  • 87', Rosero K. 🟨,
  • 90', Cortizo J. , Estrada A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
48.2%
Draw
25.4%
Club León
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 27.9% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 27.5% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Necaxa - Club León Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.05)
    3.71
    (3.36)
    3.57
    (3.58)
    6.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Necaxa - Club León?
  • Users Predictions: Necaxa will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Necaxa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
    • Necaxa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • León is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, León has had a series of away games.
    • Necaxa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in León: Blanco A. (Wrist Injury) Rodriguez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Club León were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Necaxa - Club León 2:1
    21.07.2024 Club León - Necaxa 1:1
    31.03.2024 Necaxa - Club León 1:2
    02.09.2023 Club León - Necaxa 1:1
    16.01.2023 Club León - Necaxa 2:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Orlando City - Necaxa 5:1
    02.08.2025 Inter Miami - Necaxa 3:2
    30.07.2025 Necaxa - Atlanta United 3:1
    26.07.2025 Necaxa - Club América 1:1
    Latest results of Club León
    11.08.2025 Club León - Monterrey 1:3
    05.08.2025 Columbus Crew - Club León 1:0
    01.08.2025 New York City - Club León 2:0
    29.07.2025 CF Montréal - Club León 1:1
    26.07.2025 Cruz Azul - Club León 4:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey650113:7615
    2Cruz Azul642013:7614
    3Pachuca641111:5613
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Tigres UANL531115:8710
    6Toluca631213:9410
    7Club Tijuana623110:919
    8Juarez62226:7-18
    9Club Leon62135:9-47
    10Santos Laguna62049:10-16
    11Atl. San Luis62049:10-16
    12Mazatlan FC61328:9-16
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Atlas512210:14-45
    15Necaxa61236:10-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas51138:10-24
    17Queretaro61147:12-54
    18Puebla51044:14-103

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Necaxa - Club León?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldPluto TV
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