Mbarara City vs NEC FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ugandan Super League Mbarara City - NEC FC
Result
1:2
30/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 26
Mbarara City - NEC FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Rwothomio C. 🟨,
  • 43', Ndalambi J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Mugalu A. ,
  • 57', Mucureezi P. , Ajo E. ,
  • 57', Mugalu A. , Ssebagala E. ,
  • 59', Jurua H. , Arigumaho S. ,
  • 65', Othieno S. , Odongo F. ,
  • 65', Hamza M. , Onzima P. ,
  • 65', Ndalambi J. , Busolo P. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 80', Jarieko J. , Kavuma M. ,
  • 80', Kulanga E. , Mutyaba M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Arigumaho S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Okao J. ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
15.2%
Draw
28%
NEC FC
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 29.2% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 28.2% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.
  • NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mbarara City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mbarara City - NEC FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.02
    (3.8)
    3.26
    (3.1)
    1.61
    (1.93)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Mbarara City - NEC FC?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mbarara City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • NEC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • In this match, NEC is a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - NEC FC were as follows:
    04.01.2025 NEC FC - Mbarara City 1:0
    09.02.2024 NEC FC - Mbarara City 2:0
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Latest results of NEC FC
    25.04.2025 NEC FC - Mbale Heroes 2:0
    17.04.2025 Vipers - NEC FC 3:1
    10.04.2025 NEC FC - Kitara 2:1
    04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    27.03.2025 NEC FC - Express 3:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers ✔ 29215348:143468
    2NEC FC ✔ 29197343:192464
    3BUL291511335:171856
    4URA SC29164942:222052
    5Kampala City29138844:242047
    6Villa29119943:301342
    7Kitara291181039:192041
    8Maroons291171127:32-540
    9Express291161230:42-1239
    10UPDF291091027:31-439
    11Police297121025:28-333
    12Mbarara City29881322:31-932
    13Lugazi297101219:32-1331
    14Wakiso Giants ✔ 293111517:45-2820
    15Bright Stars ✔ 29471822:46-2419
    16Mbale Heroes ✔ 29242312:63-5110

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vipers is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )
    NEC FC is Qualified for CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification )
    Wakiso Giants is Relegated to Big League
    Bright Stars is Relegated to Big League
    Mbale Heroes is Relegated to Big League
    Which TV channels are streaming of Mbarara City - NEC FC?
    It is being streamed on channel
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