Mbarara City vs NEC FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ugandan Super League Mbarara City - NEC FC
Result
1:2
30/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 26
Mbarara City - NEC FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Rwothomio C. 🟨,
  • 43', Ndalambi J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Mugalu A. ,
  • 57', Mucureezi P. , Ajo E. ,
  • 57', Mugalu A. , Ssebagala E. ,
  • 59', Jurua H. , Arigumaho S. ,
  • 65', Othieno S. , Odongo F. ,
  • 65', Hamza M. , Onzima P. ,
  • 65', Ndalambi J. , Busolo P. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 80', Jarieko J. , Kavuma M. ,
  • 80', Kulanga E. , Mutyaba M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Arigumaho S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Okao J. ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
15.2%
Draw
28%
NEC FC
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 29.2% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 28.2% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.
  • NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mbarara City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mbarara City - NEC FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.02
    (3.8)
    3.26
    (3.1)
    1.61
    (1.93)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mbarara City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • NEC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • In this match, NEC is a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - NEC FC were as follows:
    04.01.2025 NEC FC - Mbarara City 1:0
    09.02.2024 NEC FC - Mbarara City 2:0
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Latest results of NEC FC
    25.04.2025 NEC FC - Mbale Heroes 2:0
    17.04.2025 Vipers - NEC FC 3:1
    10.04.2025 NEC FC - Kitara 2:1
    04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    27.03.2025 NEC FC - Express 3:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers30216349:153469
    2NEC FC30207344:192567
    3BUL301611338:191959
    4URA SC301641042:231952
    5Kampala City30148847:242350
    6Villa30129944:301445
    7Kitara301281045:202544
    8Maroons301271129:32-343
    9Express301161330:45-1539
    10UPDF301091129:34-539
    11Police308121027:28-136
    12Mbarara City30881422:33-1132
    13Lugazi307101319:33-1431
    14Bright Stars30481823:47-2420
    15Wakiso Giants303111617:47-3020
    16Mbale Heroes30242413:69-5610

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League

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