Result
1:5
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Santa Catarina - Round 4
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 39', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 0 - 5, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avaí
11.3% | Draw
21.4% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
67.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.98 ↑
(7.38) |
4.23 ↑
(4.2) |
1.34 ↓
(1.38) |
10.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 3.
- Recent form of Avaí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marcílio Dias has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Marcílio Dias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Avaí has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Avaí?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
22.09.2025
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Avaí
3:0
09.02.2025
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
3:0
03.02.2024
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
26.09.2023
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
4:3
21.01.2023
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Avaí
1:2
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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