Náutico Capibaribe vs Ituano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano
Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie C - First stage - Round 19
Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
103
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
229
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
126
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Samuel 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Otusanya O. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Vinicius Popo , Fernando Canesin ,
  • 56', Victor Reis , Ze Carlos ,
  • 56', Gabriel Razera , Felipe Muranga ,
  • 66', Vinicius , Kelvin ,
  • 66', Patrick Allan , Felipe Redaelli ,
  • 70', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 71', Raimar , Igor Fernandes ,
  • 76', Samuel , Indio ,
  • 76', Igor Bolt , Helio Borges ,
  • 83', Bruno Silva 🟨,
  • 85', Bruno Silva , Grigor ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
47%
Draw
29.2%
Ituano
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 27.3% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 25.9% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.
  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.7)
    3.13
    (3.33)
    3.77
    (4.7)
    8.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ituano will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 2 - 40%). Ituano (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Náutico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ituano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Náutico is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano were as follows:
    02.09.2022 Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano 2:0
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Ituano
    23.08.2025 Ituano - Ypiranga 2:1
    16.08.2025 CS Alagoano - Ituano 2:2
    09.08.2025 Ituano - Confiança 1:2
    04.08.2025 Ituano - Londrina 1:0
    27.07.2025 Itabaiana - Ituano 3:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina52305:329
    2Sao Bernardo51313:306
    3Floresta EC51311:106
    4SER Caxias50321:3-23


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta ✔ 53115:3210
    2Guarani52126:517
    3Brusque52035:6-16
    4Nautico51223:5-25

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie B Superbet
    Which TV channels are streaming of Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping
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