Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.13
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (274/358)79% (279/354)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.43
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
77% (274/358)79% (279/354)
Long passes
34% (15/44)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
54% (49/90)70% (86/123)
Crosses
45% (5/11)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.46
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1212
Tackles
71% (10/14)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5258
Clearances
3413
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.432.26
Goals prevented
0.431.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 61', Donovan C. , Baribo T. ,
  • 61', Sullivan C. , Bender B. ,
  • 63', Perez J. 🟥,
  • 71', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 72', Vassilev I. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 73', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 79', Bender B. 🟨,
  • 80', Muyl A. , Qasem A. ,
  • 82', Najar A. , Bauer J. ,
  • 89', Tagseth E. 🟨,
  • 90', Yazbek P. , Acosta B. ,
  • 90', Surridge S. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 90+11', 1 - 0, Bunbury T. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
49.2%
Draw
25.5%
Philadelphia Union
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 27% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 27.1% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.11)
    3.74
    (3.54)
    3.75
    (3.45)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (59 of 66 users predict this - 89.39%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.96%96.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nashville SC will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nashville is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T. (Knee Injury) Valdez X. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Baribo T. (Calf Injury) Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Harriel N. (International duty) Sullivan Q. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Nashville: Meyer W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Mbaizo O. (Groin Injury) Uhre M. (Hip Injury) Westfield F. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0
    06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0
    12.07.2023 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
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