Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer US Open Cup Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union
Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : US Open Cup - Semi-finals
Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.600.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.471.11
Total shots
119
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
78% (255/329)83% (398/479)
Long passes
32% (17/53)62% (44/71)
Passes in final third
57% (35/61)70% (128/182)
Crosses
0% (0/6)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.65
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1512
Tackles
57% (4/7)100% (13/13)
Duels won
3139
Clearances
285
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.113.47
Goals prevented
0.110.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', Damiani B. 🟨,
  • 21', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Surridge S. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 37', Makhanya O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Qasem A. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Surridge S. ,
  • 62', Iloski M. 🟨,
  • 64', Damiani B. , Sullivan Q. ,
  • 64', Iloski M. , Uhre M. ,
  • 66', Wagner K. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Sullivan Q. , Vassilev I. (A),
  • 75', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 76', Muyl A. , Bauer J. ,
  • 77', Mukhtar H. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 1, Surridge S. , Lovitz D. (A),
  • 86', Vassilev I. , Olivas S. ,
  • 86', Mukhtar H. , Bunbury T. ,
  • 86', Baribo T. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 90', Surridge S. , Corcoran M. ,

Chances of winning


Nashville SC
41.8%
Draw
27.5%
Philadelphia Union
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 26.5% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 26.3% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nashville SC's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nashville SC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (3.31)
    3.43
    (3.55)
    3.01
    (2.09)
    7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 2.
    • Nashville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Philadelphia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:0
    20.07.2024 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 3:0
    06.04.2024 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 1:2
    07.10.2023 Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC 0:0
    12.07.2023 Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union 0:2
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Draw
    2025

    1/128-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    3West Chester UtdLoudoun2 : 3
    4Richmond KickersVirginia Dream1 : 3
    8ByeMinnesota United
    9St. Louis CityBye
    13Sporting Kansas City IIMenace1 : 2
    14FlatironsUnion Omaha1 : 2
    16ByeSan Antonio
    17Hartford AthleticNew York Shockers3 : 0
    18Portland Hearts of PineFaialense4 : 0
    20ByeRhode Island
    24ByeNew England Revolution
    25Chicago FireBye
    29DetroitBye
    31MotownWestchester SC
    32Cincinnati 2New York Pancyprian0 : 1
    33Tacoma DefianceWashington AC3 : 1
    34BallardSpokane Velocity0 : 1
    36ByeOakland Roots
    40ByePortland Timbers
    41Sacramento RepublicBye
    43Monterey BayInternational SF4 : 0
    44Real MonarchsEl Farolito1 : 3
    48ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    49Forward MadisonDuluth FC5 : 1
    50Tulsa AthleticFC Tulsa0 : 1
    52ByePhoenix Rising
    56ByeHouston Dynamo
    57Austin FCBye
    61New MexicoBye
    63Ventura CountyLaguna United7 : 0
    64El PasoHarpos5 : 1
    65Philadelphia UnionBye
    69Indy ElevenBye
    71Inter Miami IIMiami United4 : 2
    72Miami FCNaples United4 : 1
    73Columbus Crew 2NY Renegades4 : 1
    74LexingtonSouthern Indiana5 : 0
    76ByePittsburgh
    80ByeNew York City
    81Colorado SpringsBye
    83Asheville CityGreenville0 : 1
    84AppalachianOne Knoxville0 : 3
    88ByeNew York Red Bulls
    89FC DallasBye
    93AV AltaVentura3 : 1
    94Los Angeles FC IIArizona FC7 : 1
    96ByeOrange County SC
    97Sarasota ParadiseFC Naples1 : 2
    98Little Rock RangersBirmingham1 : 0
    100ByeTampa Bay
    104ByeOrlando City
    105Nashville SCBye
    109Las Vegas LightsBye
    111ChattanoogaCorpus Christi FC1 : 0
    112New Jersey AllianceChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    113Long IslandCharlotte Independ.2 : 3
    114Carolina CoreSoda City4 : 2
    116ByeNorth Carolina
    120ByeCharlotte
    121DC UnitedBye
    125CharlestonBye
    127TormentaHarbor City3 : 0
    128TexomaForo1 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1Louisville CityBye
    2LoudounVirginia Dream4 : 2
    4ByeMinnesota United
    5St. Louis CityBye
    7MenaceUnion Omaha1 : 2
    8ByeSan Antonio
    9Hartford AthleticPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 2
    10ByeRhode Island
    12ByeNew England Revolution
    13Chicago FireBye
    15DetroitBye
    16Westchester SCNew York Pancyprian3 : 2
    17Tacoma DefianceSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeOakland Roots
    20ByePortland Timbers
    21Sacramento RepublicBye
    22Monterey BayEl Farolito1 : 2
    24ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    25Forward MadisonFC Tulsa1 : 3
    26ByePhoenix Rising
    28ByeHouston Dynamo
    29Austin FCBye
    31New MexicoBye
    32Ventura CountyEl Paso0 : 3
    33Philadelphia UnionBye
    35Indy ElevenBye
    36Inter Miami IIMiami FC0 : 1
    37Columbus Crew 2Lexington3 : 0
    38ByePittsburgh
    40ByeNew York City
    41Colorado SpringsBye
    42GreenvilleOne Knoxville1 : 3
    44ByeNew York Red Bulls
    45FC DallasBye
    47AV AltaLos Angeles FC II2 : 1
    48ByeOrange County SC
    49FC NaplesLittle Rock Rangers3 : 0
    50ByeTampa Bay
    52ByeOrlando City
    53Nashville SCBye
    55Las Vegas LightsBye
    56ChattanoogaChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 2
    57Charlotte Independ.Carolina Core2 : 1
    58ByeNorth Carolina
    60ByeCharlotte
    61DC UnitedBye
    63CharlestonBye
    64TormentaForo3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Louisville CityLoudoun2 : 1
    2ByeMinnesota United
    3St. Louis CityBye
    4Union OmahaSan Antonio1 : 0
    5Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island1 : 2
    6ByeNew England Revolution
    7Chicago FireBye
    8DetroitWestchester SC3 : 1
    9Tacoma DefianceOakland Roots2 : 1
    10ByePortland Timbers
    11Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito1 : 0
    12ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    13FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    14ByeHouston Dynamo
    15Austin FCBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso2 : 3
    17Philadelphia UnionBye
    18Indy ElevenMiami FC1 : 0
    19Columbus Crew 2Pittsburgh0 : 1
    20ByeNew York City
    21Colorado SpringsOne Knoxville3 : 2
    22ByeNew York Red Bulls
    23FC DallasBye
    24AV AltaOrange County SC3 : 2
    25FC NaplesTampa Bay1 : 2
    26ByeOrlando City
    27Nashville SCBye
    28Las Vegas LightsChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    29Charlotte Independ.North Carolina1 : 3
    30ByeCharlotte
    31DC UnitedBye
    32CharlestonTormenta4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Louisville CityMinnesota United0 : 1
    2St. Louis CityUnion Omaha2 : 0
    3Rhode IslandNew England Revolution1 : 2
    4Chicago FireDetroit4 : 0
    5Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers2 : 3
    6Sacramento RepublicSan Jose Earthquakes1 : 2
    7Phoenix RisingHouston Dynamo1 : 4
    8Austin FCEl Paso3 : 2
    9Philadelphia UnionIndy Eleven2 : 1
    10PittsburghNew York City1 : 0
    11Colorado SpringsNew York Red Bulls1 : 4
    12FC DallasAV Alta3 : 1
    13Tampa BayOrlando City0 : 5
    14Nashville SCChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15North CarolinaCharlotte1 : 4
    16DC UnitedCharleston2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedSt. Louis City3 : 2
    2New England RevolutionChicago Fire1 : 3
    3Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes0 : 1
    4Houston DynamoAustin FC1 : 3
    5Philadelphia UnionPittsburgh4 : 1
    6New York Red BullsFC Dallas3 : 2
    7Orlando CityNashville SC2 : 3
    8CharlotteDC United3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedChicago Fire3 : 1
    2San Jose EarthquakesAustin FC2 : 3
    3Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls3 : 2
    4Nashville SCDC United5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota UnitedAustin FC1 : 2
    2Philadelphia UnionNashville SC1 : 3

    Final
    1Austin FCNashville SC
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