Neftchi Fargona vs Nasaf Qarshi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi
11/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 18
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
36.5%
Draw
29.9%
Nasaf Qarshi
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.62)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.74
    (2.35)
    8.5%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%). Nasaf (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    22.11.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:0
    20.06.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    07.10.2023 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 2:0
    02.07.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:1
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi17107032:141837
    2Neftchi Fargona1796228:161233
    3OKMK17103426:18833
    4Din. Samarkand1796227:21633
    5Bunyodkor1787228:161231
    6Pakhtakor1792633:161729
    7Navbahor Namangan1784533:191428
    8Andijan1756623:24-121
    9Qizilqum1756616:25-921
    10Sogdiana1855821:22-120
    11Termez Surkhon1755714:18-420
    12Xorazm Urganch1753921:21018
    13Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    14Buxoro17341016:29-1313
    15Kokand 191217331111:30-1912
    16Shortan Guzor17241110:30-2010

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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