Neftchi Fargona vs Nasaf Qarshi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi
Result
1:0
11/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 18
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
413
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
210
Corner Kicks
17
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Sayfiev F. 🟥,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Iskanderov J. (Pen),
  • 35', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Otubanjo Y. ,
  • 40', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bozorov O. , Colovic S. ,
  • 62', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 62', Mukhammadiev S. , Mukhitdinov S. ,
  • 63', Kojo J. , Nimely S. ,
  • 63', Odilov A. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 67', Mukhitdinov S. 🟨,
  • 70', Nasrullaev S. , Shala A. ,
  • 75', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 79', Ismoilov A. , Ruziev K. ,
  • 85', Alibaev I. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 90+1', Eshmurodov U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
36.5%
Draw
29.9%
Nasaf Qarshi
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.62)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.74
    (2.35)
    8.5%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%). Nasaf (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    22.11.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:0
    20.06.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    07.10.2023 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 2:0
    02.07.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:1
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi20127136:162043
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK20114529:20937
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2095637:231432
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Termez Surkhon2065918:23-523
    10Sogdiana2056922:25-321
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    13Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    14Mashal Muborak20531216:38-2218
    15Buxoro20451119:32-1317
    16Shortan Guzor20251314:37-2311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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