Neftchi Fargona vs Nasaf Qarshi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uzbek League Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi
Result
1:0
11/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 18
  • Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
413
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
210
Corner Kicks
17
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Sayfiev F. 🟥,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Iskanderov J. (Pen),
  • 35', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Otubanjo Y. ,
  • 40', Nasrullaev S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bozorov O. , Colovic S. ,
  • 62', Alibaev I. 🟨,
  • 62', Mukhammadiev S. , Mukhitdinov S. ,
  • 63', Kojo J. , Nimely S. ,
  • 63', Odilov A. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 67', Mukhitdinov S. 🟨,
  • 70', Nasrullaev S. , Shala A. ,
  • 75', Ismoilov A. 🟨,
  • 79', Ismoilov A. , Ruziev K. ,
  • 85', Alibaev I. , Gulyamov G. ,
  • 90+1', Eshmurodov U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Neftchi Fargona
36.5%
Draw
29.9%
Nasaf Qarshi
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.62)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.74
    (2.35)
    8.5%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 50%). Nasaf (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    22.11.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:0
    20.06.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 1:0
    07.10.2023 Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona 2:0
    02.07.2023 Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi 2:1
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi22147142:162649
    2Neftchi Fargona22136336:191745
    3Pakhtakor22124644:202440
    4OKMK22124635:251040
    5Bunyodkor22108434:26838
    6Din. Samarkand21108331:25638
    7Navbahor Namangan2296737:28933
    8Qizilqum2268819:29-1026
    9Sogdiana2267928:28025
    10Termez Surkhon2267918:23-525
    11Andijan2157927:34-722
    12Kokand 191222641217:33-1622
    13Mashal Muborak22641218:39-2122
    14Xorazm Urganch22551223:27-420
    15Buxoro22551224:37-1320
    16Shortan Guzor22261415:39-2412

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga

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