Result
4:2
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Meistriliiga - Round 12
- Referee: Laane K. (Est)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kabore P. ⚽, Eriks Santos (A),
- 14', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
- 29', Valja H. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Villota M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, Kabore P. ⚽,
- 50', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
- 60', Kabore P. 🟨,
- 63', Filatov A. 🟨,
- 65', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 68', Kozhushko M. ↓, Doke J. ↑,
- 70', Kauber K. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 1, Kabore P. ⚽, Doke J. (A),
- 73', Limberg M. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 73', Vallik V. ↓, Paalberg M. ↑,
- 75', Madissoo R. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
- 75', Lipp M. ↓, Seppik M. ↑,
- 78', Ivanyushin A. 🟨,
- 81', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
- 85', 4 - 1, Kabore P. (Pen),
- 86', Kabore P. ↓, Freitas Correia J. ↑,
- 86', Viidas S. ↓, Kudriashov V. ↑,
- 90', Zuravljov E. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 90+1', Filatov A. ↓, Jegorov A. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Kapper S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
54.2% | Draw
25% | Pärnu Vaprus
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans's form might have worsened.Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.53) |
3.68 ↓
(3.85) |
4.4 ↓
(5.41) |
9%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
- In recent matches, Narva Trans has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Narva Trans is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Narva Trans has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Narva Trans?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
23.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
1:2
04.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:1
27.10.2024
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:1
20.07.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:0
15.06.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
1:4
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 45:16 | 29 | 44 |
| 2 | Flora | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42:17 | 25 | 41 |
| 3 | Paide | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 31:15 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Kalju | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 37:21 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Narva | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 33:23 | 10 | 31 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 16 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20:36 | -16 | 15 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18:35 | -17 | 14 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13:58 | -45 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
Which TV channels are streaming of Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
